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987
FNUS73 KGRR 171256
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FIRE WHEEL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
856 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RAIN SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. IT WILL BECOME BREEZY TOO. SHOWERS SHOULD
END SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN EXPECT CLEARING SKIES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................91 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8
                    MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 23
                    MPH IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2100-2600
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........82     85     89     97     98
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............53     54     55     54     51
RH..............91     90     83     83     86
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 5   W 5    W 5    NW 6
20 FT GUST......10                          10
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 26 TO 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....700-1000 (EXCELLENT).

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    MIDDAY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    MID AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45.
RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 18 TO 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 500 (GOOD)
                    IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...MARINO
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS WILTSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141017.FIREW.01/GRR







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