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146
FNUS75 KGJT 311024
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RX FIRE COURTHOUSE WASH...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
324 AM MST SAT JAN 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT PERIODS OF RAIN OVER THE FIRE SITE THIS
MORNING AS YESTERDAY/S MOIST PACIFIC STORM LINGERS TO THE SOUTHWEST.
DATA FROM RAIN GAUGES SURROUNDING THE FIRE SITE INDICATED AROUND
0.25 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. GIVEN THE
UNIFORMITY OBSERVED IN THE GAUGE DATA...SUSPECT THE BURN SITE HAS
RECEIVED SIMILAR AMOUNTS. AN ADDITIONAL 0.05 TO 0.10 INCHES OF
RAIN IS POSSIBLE BEFORE NOON.

THE STORM CENTER DROPS SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY AND AS A RESULT
RAIN WILL BECOME MORE SHOWERY AND SCATTERED IN COVERAGE LATER IN
THE DAY. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY. MORNING FOG IS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......CALM THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST
3 TO 5 MPH AROUND 1400.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 500 BY 1400. 500 OR HIGHER IN
RAIN BEFORE NOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4300 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%). AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........AREAS OF FOG THROUGH 1000...THEN MOSTLY
SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE AND BELOW 3 MPH THROUGH NOON...THEN
BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 3 TO 5 MPH AROUND 1400.
CLEARING INDEX......TOPPING OUT AT 450 AROUND 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...STEVE UNDERWOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150131.RXFIR.01/GJT




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