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270
FNUS75 KGJT 212350
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS 50TH EVENT...WHITE RIVER NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
550 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FORECAST TREND HAS BEEN TO UP THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY...PASSING OVER
THE FLATTOPS DURING THE EVENING. IN ADDITION...DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST. AS A RESULT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...PEAKING IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON TO MID EVENING HOURS. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
SOME STORMS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
                    A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE BY
                    MIDDAY...WITH NUMEROUS STORMS DEVELOPING BY
                    1600 (60-70% CHANCE).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4 UNTIL 1600...THEN 5.


$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...TONI TOELLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140822.WILDE.01/GJT




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