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867
FNUS73 KDLH 221554
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSS RIVER RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1054 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MAIN ISSUE TODAY IS INCREASING WINDS AND ASSOCIATED
GUSTS. AS MIXING LAYER DEEPENS THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON...THE WINDS SHOULD BECOME MORE GUSTY IN NATURE AND
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LOWER TO NEAR 50 PERCENT...POSSIBLY
INTO UPPER 40S IF SURFACE TEMPERATURES CAN RISE MORE QUICKLY.
MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD OCCUR AFTER 10PM TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING
                    CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 TO 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21400) INCREASING TO GOOD (37100) IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............47     52     52     49
RH..............63     53     51     57
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8      9      10      8
20 FT WIND GUST.17     20     20     16

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN
                    THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1350 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (29900) DECREASING TO FAIR (17650) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO
                    FAIR (21300) LATE.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............47     44     43     44     44     44
RH..............65     76     82     82     86     89
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..6      6      6      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST.12     12     12     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1950 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (24700) DECREASING TO POOR (9000).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............45     45     48     52     53     51
RH..............89     93     89     80     77     83
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      S      SW     S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..5      3      3      3      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     7      6      6      7      6

$$
FORECASTER...DECLAN
REQUESTED BY...ROBERTSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141022.CROSS.01/DLH







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