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120
FNUS71 KBOX 311607
FWSBOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LUDLOW EVENT DAY 2...MEMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1207 PM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO THIS EVENING. MORE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED MONDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (23100-40200 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............86  87  88  90  91
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP................81  82  82  81  80
RH..................67  63  65  69  74
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.2 3.7 3.2 2.8 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  13  13  12  12
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................30  33  30  27  23
CWR.................30  30  40  50  60
VRATE KT-FT/1000....34  40  34  28  23

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    PATCHY FOG UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY
                    FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2700-18200 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............93  94  96  95  95  94  93  93  92  91  89  88
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP................78  77  75  74  73  73  72  72  72  71  70  70
RH..................79  82  87  90  90  90  93  90  90  93  97  97
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.0 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  10  9   8   8   7   6   6   5   5   5   5
LVORI...............3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   8   8
ADI.................20  17  6   6   5   5   4   4   2   2   2   2
CWR.................60  60  60  60  60  60  50  40  40  30  30  30
VRATE KT-FT/1000....18  14  10  8   7   6   5   4   3   3   3   3

.LABOR DAY...

MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3900 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2400-15500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.0 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...............8   8   6   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................3   3   3   6   9   11  13  11  13  12  11  10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....3   3   2   4   6   8   11  13  16  14  12  10

$$
FORECASTER...KJC
REQUESTED BY...KYLE SODANO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140831.LUDLO.01/BOX




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