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FNUS75 KBOU 211708
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI RX FIRE...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE/PARKS AND OPEN SPA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1008 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...FAIRLY WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH PRETTY
WEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0800...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY UNTIL 1400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........37%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2300-3300
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........53%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000
                    FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........31%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 30-35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 13-21 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
WEST WINDS 15-24 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

11/21-09  2  0  0 44 37 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 14  1785   W 10 16488 P
11/21-10  8  0  0 44 37 SSW  3  3 3 1   W 15  2684 WNW 10 24708 P
11/21-11 15  0  0 44 38   S  3  3 3 1   W 16  3583 WNW 10 32928 P
11/21-12 21  0  0 44 39 SSE  3  3 3 1   W 20  3568 WNW 12 34409 P
11/21-13 28  0  0 45 38  SE  5  5 4 1 WNW 23  3552   W 12 35891 P
11/21-14 34  2  0 45 38 ESE  5  5 4 1 WNW 25  3537   W 13 37372 P
11/21-15 55  2  0 43 40 SSE  5  5 4 1 WNW 25  2782   W 12 28599 P
11/21-16 56  2  0 40 43  SW  5  5 4 1 WNW 24  2027   W 10 19826 P
11/21-17 36  1  0 38 44 WSW  5  5 4 1 WNW 24  1273   W 10 11054 P
11/21-18 32  1  0 36 47   W  6  6 4 1 WNW 23  1150   W 10 10534 P
11/21-19 30  1  0 34 50   W  6  6 4 1 WNW 22  1028   W 12 10014 P
11/21-20 35  1  0 32 53   W  7  7 4 1   W 21   906   W 12  9493 P
11/21-21 38  1  0 31 53   W  7  7 4 1   W 24   918   W 13  9665 P
11/21-22 41  1  0 31 51   W  7  7 4 1   W 26   930   W 13  9837 P
11/21-23 27  1  0 30 51   W  7  7 4 1   W 30   942 WSW 13 10008 P
11/22-00 27  1  0 30 51   W  7  7 4 1   W 30   931 WSW 14 11375 P
11/22-01 27  1  0 30 53   W  8 13 5 1 WSW 30   920 WSW 16 12741 P
11/22-02 27  1  0 30 53   W  8 13 5 1 WSW 31   908   W 18 14107 P
11/22-03 27  1  0 30 51   W  8 13 5 1 WSW 24   977   W 20 16494 P
11/22-04 27  1  0 30 48   W  8 13 5 1  SW 17  1046   W 21 18881 P
11/22-05 40  0  0 30 47   W  8 13 5 1  SW 10  1115   W 22 21267 P
11/22-06 44  0  0 30 48   W  9 14 5 1  SW 12  1194   W 22 22567 P
11/22-07 48  0  0 32 46   W  9 15 5 1 SSW 12  1274   W 22 23868 P
11/22-08 52  0  0 35 43   W 10 16 5 1 SSW 13  1353   W 22 25168 P
11/22-09 56  0  0 38 41   W 10 16 5 1 SSW 12  1789   W 25 41307  F
11/22-10 59  0  0 42 36 WSW 10 16 4 1  SW 12  2226   W 29 57447  F
11/22-11 63  3  1 45 34 WSW 10 16 4 1  SW 10  2662   W 32 73587   G
11/22-12 65  3  1 47 32 WSW 12 20 4 1  SW 12  2730   W 33 78561   G
11/22-13 70  4  1 48 31   W 14 22 3 1 WSW 14  2799   W 35 83535   G
11/22-14 74  5  1 48 31   W 15 24 3 1   W 15  2867   W 36 88509   G
11/22-15 76  5  1 46 34   W 15 23 3 1   W 15  2427   W 31 69359   G
11/22-16 76  5  1 43 39   W 14 22 3 1   W 16  1986   W 28 50208  F
11/22-17 75  6  1 41 43   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 16  1546   W 23 31058 P
11/22-18 74  8  2 39 46   W 13 21 3 1   W 16  1503   W 23 30147 P
11/22-19 73  9  2 38 48   W 14 22 3 1   W 16  1459   W 23 29236 P
11/22-20 72  9  2 36 52   W 15 24 3 1 WSW 16  1416   W 23 28325 P
11/22-21 72  9  2 35 53   W 15 25 3 1 WSW 24  1530   W 22 28801 P
11/22-22 72  9  2 34 55   W 16 25 3 1   W 32  1643   W 21 29276 P
11/22-23 71 14  2 33 56   W 16 25 3 1   W 40  1757   W 20 29752 P
11/23-00 71 14  2 32 57   W 16 25 3 1   W 43  2088   W 22 40698  F
11/23-01 70 14  2 31 58   W 15 24 3 1   W 46  2419 WNW 24 51644  F
11/23-02 69 14  2 31 56 WNW 15 24 3 1   W 48  2750 WNW 26 62591   G
11/23-03 69 14  2 30 56 WNW 15 23 3 1   W 49  2444 WNW 24 52151  F
11/23-04 69 14  2 30 55 WNW 15 23 2 1   W 52  2139 WNW 22 41711  F
11/23-05 57 10  2 29 55 WNW 15 24 2 1   W 53  1833 WNW 20 31271 P
11/23-06 57 10  2 28 57 WNW 16 26 2 1   W 52  2313 WNW 24 53908  F
11/23-07 57 10  2 28 56 WNW 18 29 2 1 WNW 49  2794 WNW 30 76544   G
11/23-08 57 10  2 29 53 WNW 20 31 2 1 WNW 48  3274 WNW 35 99180   G
11/23-09 57 10  2 30 50 WNW 21 33 2 1 WNW 46  5192 WNW 35156670     E
11/23-10 57 10  2 32 46  NW 22 35 3 1 WNW 45  7110 WNW 35214159     E
11/23-11 64 10  2 33 43  NW 22 35 3 1  NW 43  9028 WNW 35271649     E
11/23-12 64 10  2 34 40  NW 23 37 3 1  NW 44  9430 WNW 33276467     E
11/23-13 64 10  2 34 39  NW 23 37 3 1  NW 44  9833 WNW 33281285     E
11/23-14 64 10  2 32 41 WNW 23 37 3 1 WNW 45 10235 WNW 32286102     E
11/23-15 64 10  2 31 42 WNW 21 33 3 1  NW 46  8801 WNW 32247044     E
11/23-16 64 10  2 29 44 WNW 18 29 3 1  NW 46  7367 WNW 32207986     E
11/23-17 67  6  1 27 46 WNW 16 25 3 1  NW 47  5933  NW 32168928     E
11/23-18 67  6  1 26 46 WNW 16 25 3 1  NW 49  4992  NW 29132706    V
11/23-19 67  6  1 25 47 WNW 16 25 3 1  NW 51  4050  NW 25 96484   G
11/23-20 67  6  1 24 47 WNW 16 25 3 1  NW 53  3109  NW 22 60262   G
11/23-21 67  6  1 23 48 WNW 16 25 3 1 NNW 46  2961  NW 23 59561  F
11/23-22 67  6  1 22 48   W 15 24 3 1   N 39  2813  NW 24 58861  F
11/23-23 69  6  1 22 47   W 15 24 3 1   N 31  2665 WNW 25 58161  F
11/24-00 69  6  1 21 49   W 15 24 3 1   N 37  2531 WNW 26 57144  F
11/24-01 69  6  1 21 48   W 15 24 4 1 NNW 43  2397 WNW 28 56128  F
11/24-02 69  6  1 21 48 WNW 16 25 4 1 NNW 48  2264 WNW 28 55112  F
11/24-03 69  6  1 21 48 WNW 16 26 4 1 NNW 48  2065 WNW 26 48868  F
11/24-04 69  6  1 21 49 WNW 17 28 4 1 NNW 48  1867 WNW 26 42625  F
11/24-05 73  6  1 21 49 WNW 18 30 4 1 NNW 48  1668 WNW 25 36381 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141121.WAPIT.01/BOU




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