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238
FNUS75 KBOU 251708
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPIT...BOULDER COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1000 AM MST TUE NOV 25 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A MOUNTAIN WAVE IS IN PLACE ALONG THE FRONT RANGE...RESULTING
IN AREAS OF VERY STRONG WINDS. GUSTS IN THE 50-60 MPH RANGE ARE OCCURRING AT THIS
TIME IN SOME LOWER FOOTHILLS LOCATIONS IN BOULDER COUNTY. THE WINDS WILL START AND
STOP DUE TO TURBULENCE IN THE MOUNTAIN WAVE...BUT IN GENERAL STRONG WINDS WILL
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON WITH A LOWER THREAT OF THE STRONGEST WINDS.
AT THE FIRE GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY...BUT 90 MPH GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH THE THREAT OF HIGH WINDS DIMINISHING AS
THE NIGHT GOES ON. IT WILL REMAIN MILD WITH LIGHTER WEST WINDS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY...PROBABLY TURNING COOLER ON SATURDAY OR SUNDAY BUT WITH LITTLE
OR NO PRECIPITATION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    1500. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 25-40 MPH. GUSTS TO
                    60 MPH LIKELY...GUSTS TO 90 MPH POSSIBLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-45 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-80%.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 20-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70
                    MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN 11-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    35 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-35 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(55-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-42%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 20-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPIT.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

11/25-09 87  6  1 32 39   W 47 79 2 1 NNW 64  2489   W 37 80293   G
11/25-10 89  6  1 37 33   W 49 84 3 1 NNW 68  2617   W 39 90489   G
11/25-11 91  6  1 42 28   W 51 86 3 1 NNW 71  2745 WNW 43100685    V
11/25-12 90  7  1 45 26   W 51 86 3 1 NNW 71  2840 WNW 41103114    V
11/25-13 90  8  2 47 25   W 49 84 3 1  NW 71  2935 WNW 41105543    V
11/25-14 89  9  2 47 26   W 47 81 3 1  NW 71  3030 WNW 41107971    V
11/25-15 87 10  2 45 28   W 45 77 3 1  NW 74  2724 WNW 39 93358   G
11/25-16 84 10  2 42 32   W 44 74 3 1  NW 76  2418 WNW 37 78744   G
11/25-17 81 10  2 40 34   W 41 70 3 1  NW 77  2112 WNW 35 64131   G
11/25-18 80 10  2 38 38   W 40 69 3 1  NW 82  1932 WNW 35 57824  F
11/25-19 80 10  2 37 41   W 40 68 3 1 NNW 86  1751 WNW 33 51518  F
11/25-20 80 10  2 36 44   W 39 67 3 1 NNW 90  1571 WNW 33 45211  F
11/25-21 80 10  2 36 45 WNW 37 63 3 1 NNW 90  1452 WNW 30 38035 P
11/25-22 79 10  2 34 50 WNW 35 59 2 1 NNW 90  1332 WNW 26 30859 P
11/25-23 79 10  2 33 54 WNW 31 53 2 1 NNW 89  1212 WNW 23 23684 P
11/26-00 78 15  3 32 57   W 28 47 2 1  NW 87  1222 WNW 18 19988 P
11/26-01 77 22  4 32 57   W 24 41 2 1  NW 85  1232   W 15 16292 P
11/26-02 76 25  5 31 61   W 21 36 2 1  NW 84  1242   W 12 12596 P
11/26-03 75 25  5 31 62   W 16 29 2 1  NW 79  1218   W 10 10873 P
11/26-04 74 25  5 31 64 WSW 13 22 2 1  NW 75  1194   W  9  9150 P
11/26-05 73 19  4 31 66 WSW 10 17 2 1  NW 70  1170   W  7  7427 P
11/26-06 73 19  4 31 69 WSW 10 17 2 1  NW 64  1167   W  8  7878 P
11/26-07 73 19  4 31 72 WSW 10 18 2 1  NW 59  1164   W  8  8330 P
11/26-08 73 19  4 32 72 WSW 12 20 2 1 NNW 53  1161   W  9  8782 P
11/26-09 73 19  4 35 65 WSW 12 20 2 1  NW 51  1696   W 12 20482 P
11/26-10 73 19  4 38 59   W 13 21 2 1  NW 49  2231   W 15 32182 P
11/26-11 59  5  1 41 53   W 13 22 2 1  NW 49  2765   W 18 43883  F
11/26-12 59  5  1 44 47   W 14 23 2 1  NW 47  2928   W 20 51208  F
11/26-13 59  5  1 46 43   W 14 24 2 1  NW 44  3092 WNW 22 58534  F
11/26-14 59  5  1 46 42   W 15 25 2 1  NW 43  3255 WNW 23 65859   G
11/26-15 59  5  1 45 42   W 16 26 2 1  NW 41  2649 WNW 23 52581  F
11/26-16 59  5  1 42 45   W 16 29 3 1  NW 41  2044 WNW 22 39303 P
11/26-17 41  3  1 40 46   W 17 30 3 1  NW 41  1438   W 21 26024 P
11/26-18 41  3  1 39 47   W 17 30 3 1  NW 41  1256   W 21 22399 P
11/26-19 41  3  1 38 47   W 17 30 4 1  NW 41  1074   W 20 18773 P
11/26-20 41  3  1 38 46   W 17 28 4 1  NW 39   892   W 20 15147 P
11/26-21 41  3  1 37 47   W 16 26 4 1  NW 32   886   W 21 15787 P
11/26-22 41  3  1 36 48   W 16 25 5 1  NW 25   879   W 22 16428 P
11/26-23 36  0  0 35 50   W 15 24 5 1  NW 18   873   W 23 17068 P
11/27-00 36  0  0 35 48   W 15 24 5 1  NW 16   881   W 22 16982 P
11/27-01 36  0  0 35 47   W 16 25 5 1  NW 17   890   W 22 16897 P
11/27-02 36  0  0 35 45   W 16 25 5 1 WNW 20   898   W 22 16811 P
11/27-03 36  0  0 35 45   W 15 24 5 1  NW 24   895   W 21 16282 P
11/27-04 36  0  0 36 43   W 14 22 5 1  NW 30   893   W 21 15753 P
11/27-05 34  0  0 36 44   W 13 21 5 1  NW 35   890   W 20 15224 P
11/27-06 34  0  0 37 43   W 13 20 5 1  NW 37   884   W 20 14627 P
11/27-07 34  0  0 38 42   W 13 20 4 1  NW 37   878   W 18 14030 P
11/27-08 34  0  0 40 41   W 13 21 4 1  NW 37   872   W 17 13434 P
11/27-09 34  0  0 43 38   W 13 20 4 1  NW 38  1168   W 18 19495 P
11/27-10 34  0  0 47 34   W 12 20 4 1  NW 38  1465   W 20 25557 P
11/27-11 35  0  0 51 30   W 12 18 4 1 WNW 40  1761   W 21 31619 P
11/27-12 35  0  0 54 28   W 12 17 4 1 WNW 45  2109   W 21 36954 P
11/27-13 35  0  0 55 27   W 10 17 3 1 WNW 49  2457   W 20 42289  F
11/27-14 35  0  0 55 26   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 54  2804   W 20 47623  F
11/27-15 35  0  0 52 29   W 10 17 3 1 WNW 55  2277   W 18 37672 P
11/27-16 35  0  0 48 33   W 12 17 3 1 WNW 54  1750   W 17 27720 P
11/27-17 48  1  0 45 37   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 53  1223   W 17 17768 P
11/27-18 48  1  0 43 39   W 12 18 4 1 WNW 52  1159   W 17 16940 P
11/27-19 48  1  0 41 41   W 12 18 4 1 WNW 48  1095   W 17 16111 P
11/27-20 48  1  0 40 41   W 12 18 5 1 WNW 46  1031   W 17 15283 P
11/27-21 48  1  0 38 42 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 41  1025   W 17 15514 P
11/27-22 48  1  0 36 43 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 36  1019   W 17 15745 P
11/27-23 33  1  0 34 45 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 32  1013   W 18 15976 P
11/28-00 33  1  0 33 46 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 30  1009   W 17 15525 P
11/28-01 33  1  0 33 45 WSW 10 17 5 1 WNW 30  1005   W 17 15074 P
11/28-02 33  1  0 33 45 WSW 10 16 5 1 WNW 30  1001   W 17 14623 P
11/28-03 33  1  0 33 45 WSW 10 16 5 1 WNW 31  1012   W 16 14173 P
11/28-04 33  1  0 34 43 WSW  9 15 5 1 WNW 32  1022   W 15 13724 P
11/28-05 30  1  0 34 43 WSW  9 15 5 1 WNW 35  1032   W 15 13275 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141125.WAPIT.01/BOU




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