weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Suppression Forecast
NWS Homepage
This page is being discontinued on March 12, 2014.
The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.


Current Version
Previous Version:    01  02  03  04  05  06  07  08  09  10  11  12  13  14  15  
[Printable]
140
FNUS75 KBOU 251058
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI RX BURN...BCSO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
447 AM MDT SAT OCT 25 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2215 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH A
VERY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT MORE WESTERLY AND
INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS A TROF MOVES INLAND ACROSS THE WEST COAST.
THERE COULD BE GUSTY WEST WINDS AT THE BURN SITE LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-14%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4700-5700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........45%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    WEST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(30-35%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........27%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3300 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 5300-6300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 25-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI RX BURN.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/25-04  0  0  0 51 34   W  8 13 4 1   W 16  1346   W 12 13481 P
10/25-05  0  0  0 51 33   W  8  8 4 1   W 16  1326   W 10 11910 P
10/25-06  0  0  0 52 32   W  7  7 4 1   W 15  1305   W  9 10339 P
10/25-07  1  0  0 53 31   W  6  6 4 1   W 16  1360   W  8  8709 P
10/25-08  2  0  0 55 29   W  5  5 4 1 WSW 17  1416   W  6  7079 P
10/25-09  3  0  0 58 27   W  3  3 4 1 WSW 18  1471   W  5  5449 P
10/25-10  4  0  0 62 24 WSW  3  3 4 1 WSW 21  2871 WSW  6 16549 P
10/25-11  5  0  0 66 21   S  3  3 4 1 WSW 24  4272  SW  7 27649 P
10/25-12  5  0  0 69 19 SSE  5  5 4 1 WSW 26  5672 SSW  8 38749 P
10/25-13  4  0  0 71 18 SSE  5  5 4 1 WSW 29  5990  SW  9 45565  F
10/25-14  4  0  0 72 17  SE  6  6 4 1 WSW 31  6309  SW  9 52381  F
10/25-15  3  0  0 72 16  SE  6  6 4 1 WSW 33  6627  SW 10 59197  F
10/25-16  3  0  0 71 17  SE  5  5 4 1 WSW 33  5315  SW  9 44835  F
10/25-17  2  0  0 69 18  SE  5  5 4 1 WSW 33  4004  SW  8 30473 P
10/25-18  2  1  0 66 21  SE  3  3 4 1 WSW 33  2692  SW  7 16112 P
10/25-19  2  1  0 63 25   S  3  3 4 1 WSW 32  2212  SW  7 13785 P
10/25-20  1  1  0 60 30  SW  5  5 4 1 WSW 31  1732  SW  8 11457 P
10/25-21  1  1  0 57 34 WSW  6  6 4 1 WSW 30  1252 WSW  8  9130 P
10/25-22  4  1  0 55 36   W  6  6 4 1 WSW 29  1181 WSW 10 10348 P
10/25-23  8  1  0 54 35   W  6  6 5 1 WSW 28  1110 WSW 13 11565 P
10/26-00 13  0  0 54 34   W  7  7 5 1 WSW 26  1038 WSW 14 12782 P
10/26-01 18  0  0 53 35   W  9  9 5 1 WSW 22  1117   W 16 16424 P
10/26-02 22  0  0 53 35   W 12 12 5 1  SW 18  1195   W 20 20066 P
10/26-03 27  0  0 53 36   W 14 23 5 1 SSW 15  1274   W 22 23708 P
10/26-04 32  0  0 52 39   W 13 22 5 1 SSW 16  1281   W 20 22129 P
10/26-05 32  0  0 52 41   W 12 12 4 1 SSW 18  1287   W 18 20551 P
10/26-06 28  0  0 52 43   W 10 16 4 1  SW 20  1294   W 17 18972 P
10/26-07 28  0  0 52 44   W 10 17 4 1 SSW 17  1611   W 18 27148 P
10/26-08 29  0  0 52 45 WSW 13 20 5 1 SSW 16  1929   W 21 35325 P
10/26-09 30  0  0 56 40 WSW 14 22 5 1   S 14  2246   W 22 43501  F
10/26-10 30  0  0 59 36 WSW 14 23 5 1 SSW 15  3095   W 24 66688   G
10/26-11 31  0  0 62 33 WSW 15 25 5 1 WSW 17  3944   W 25 89876   G
10/26-12 31  0  0 64 30 WSW 14 23 5 1   W 18  4792   W 28113063    V
10/26-13 32  0  0 66 28 WSW 13 22 4 1   W 29  5392   W 26123030    V
10/26-14 32  0  0 66 27 WSW 12 12 3 1   W 38  5993   W 25132996    V
10/26-15 33  0  0 65 27 WSW 10 10 2 1   W 48  6593   W 25142962    V
10/26-16 33  0  0 64 28 WSW  9  9 2 1   W 46  6057   W 26135678    V
10/26-17 33  0  0 61 30   W  9  9 2 1   W 45  5522   W 26128393    V
10/26-18 48 10  2 58 33   W  9  9 2 2   W 43  4986   W 28121109    V
10/26-19 48 10  2 55 37   W  9 14 2 2   W 40  3980   W 25 92166   G
10/26-20 48 10  2 52 43   W  8 14 2 2   W 37  2974   W 23 63223   G
10/26-21 48 10  2 50 48   W  8 13 2 2   W 35  1969   W 20 34279 P
10/26-22 48 10  2 48 52   W  8 13 2 2   W 36  1795   W 17 27313 P
10/26-23 48 10  2 46 56   W  7  7 2 2   W 38  1621   W 14 20347 P
10/27-00 49 20  4 45 58 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 39  1447   W 10 13381 P
10/27-01 49 20  4 44 60   W  6  6 2 1   W 40  1385   W  9 10812 P
10/27-02 49 20  4 44 60   W  6  6 2 1 WSW 40  1323   W  7  8243 P
10/27-03 49 20  4 43 62   W  6  6 2 1 WSW 40  1261   W  5  5674 P
10/27-04 49 20  4 42 64   W  7  7 2 1 WSW 41  1347   W  5  5870 P
10/27-05 49 20  4 41 66   W  8 13 2 1 WSW 41  1433   W  5  6066 P
10/27-06 50 10  2 41 65   W  9 15 2 1 WSW 41  1519   W  5  6262 P
10/27-07 50 10  2 41 63   W 10 16 2 1 WSW 43  1816 WSW  6 10210 P
10/27-08 50 10  2 42 59   W 10 16 2 1 WSW 43  2113 WSW  7 14157 P
10/27-09 50 10  2 43 55   W 10 16 2 1 WSW 43  2409 WSW  9 18105 P
10/27-10 50 10  2 45 48   W 10 17 2 1 WSW 44  3286 WSW  9 28553 P
10/27-11 50 10  2 47 42   W 10 17 2 1 WSW 44  4163 WSW 10 39002 P
10/27-12 49 10  2 48 39   W 10 16 2 1 WSW 45  5040 WSW 12 49450  F
10/27-13 49 10  2 49 36   W  9 16 2 1 WSW 46  4986 WSW  9 40068  F
10/27-14 49 10  2 49 36   W  9 14 2 1 WSW 46  4932 WSW  7 30686 P
10/27-15 49 10  2 48 37   W  8 13 2 1 WSW 47  4878 WSW  5 21303 P
10/27-16 49 10  2 47 37   W  7  7 2 1 WSW 45  4252  SW  5 17521 P
10/27-17 49 10  2 45 39   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 44  3626 SSW  5 13740 P
10/27-18 37  4  1 43 41   W  6  6 3 1 WSW 43  3000   S  3  9958 P
10/27-19 37  4  1 41 44   W  6  6 3 1 WSW 40  2397   S  3  8100 P
10/27-20 37  4  1 40 46   W  5  5 2 1   W 37  1793   S  5  6242 P
10/27-21 37  4  1 38 50 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 33  1189   S  5  4385 P
10/27-22 37  4  1 36 53   W  5  5 2 1   W 33  1163 SSW  3  3976 P
10/27-23 37  4  1 35 53   W  5  5 2 1   W 33  1136  SW  3  3568 P
10/28-00 21  1  0 34 54   W  5  5 2 1   W 32  1109 WSW  3  3159 P
10/28-01 21  1  0 33 55   W  5  5 2 1   W 33  1102 WSW  3  3162 P
10/28-02 21  1  0 32 57   W  5  5 2 1   W 33  1095  SW  3  3165 P
10/28-03 21  1  0 31 58   W  3  3 2 1   W 33  1088  SW  3  3168 P
10/28-04 21  1  0 31 58 WSW  3  3 2 1   W 35  1179  SW  3  3825 P
10/28-05 21  1  0 31 58 WSW  3  3 2 1   W 36  1271  SW  3  4482 P
10/28-06 25  0  0 31 58 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 37  1363  SW  5  5140 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.WAPIT.01/BOU




U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE