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856
FNUS71 KAKQ 191350
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR 1 3 2 LIVE OAK POINT...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
950 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE DRIFTS WEST AND OVER THE MOUNTAINS TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH AND ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION
THROUGH SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............25  25  44  44  44  42  42  42
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................71  73  75  75  75  75  75  74
RH..................66  60  56  56  55  56  56  57
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......10  12  12  12  12  13  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  20  15  20  20  20
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  13  13  13  13  14  14  15
VRATE KT-FT/1000....26  37  35  34  34  33  32  31
LVORI...............2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................27  32  31  31  31  31  31  31
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....EAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............34  34  34  29  29  29  25  25  25  41  41  41
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................73  71  69  68  67  67  66  65  65  65  64  65
RH..................60  66  70  73  78  79  84  86  90  91  92  94
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.6 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......14  14  13  13  13  12  12  12  10  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15  16  16  16  16  16  15  14  13  12  10  9
VRATE KT-FT/1000....22  13  4   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...............2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   6
ADI.................27  20  18  18  14  14  13  12  11  10  9   8
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   4   4   3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-3100 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............55  55  55  62  62  62  67  67  67  72  72  72
WEATHER COV.........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  67  68  71  75  78  79  79  79  79  79  79
RH..................92  90  87  81  71  67  64  64  64  64  64  64
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 1.2 2.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.9
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......12  12  12  12  13  13  12  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   9   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  13  14  14
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   10  19  29  30  31  32  34  36  36
LVORI...............6   6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1
ADI.................8   8   9   9   21  26  27  28  29  31  33  34
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5



FORECASTER...SEYMOUR
REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140919.132LI.01/AKQ







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