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649
FNUS54 KOHX 241908
FWFOHX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
208 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID STATE TONIGHT PROVIDING
GENERALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE MID STATE...
MAINLY IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN
CONCERN. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AT TIMES MY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
WESTERN PORTIONS OF HIGHLAND RIM DISTRICT NORTH AND SOUTH THIS
EVENING ALSO. AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM PUSHES INTO AND THROUGH CUMBERLAND
DISTRICT NORTH BY THE MID MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY...THE CHANCES OF
RAINFALL WILL END WITH A DECREASING CLOUDINESS TREND AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES AND HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCES BUILD ACROSS THE MID
STATE. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE
MID 30S MAINLY ACROSS HIGHLAND RIM DISTRICT NORTH AND SOUTH...AND
EVEN WITH THE POTENTIAL OF SOME WET FUELS...WITH 20 FOOT WINDS
SUSTAINED WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 MPH...SOME LOCATIONS MIGHT REACH MARGINAL FIRE DANGER
CRITERIA. EXPECTING BUILDING RIDGING INFLUENCES SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO PROVIDE FOR FAIR CONDITIONS FRI NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE LOW TO MID
30S ON SATURDAY...BUT 20 FOOT WINDS SHOULD NOT BE AS STRONG.

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS IN STORE FOR THE MID STATE SUNDAY THROUGH
MOST OF NEXT WEEK...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE MID STATE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

TNZ400-251100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT (NORTH)-
CANNON-CLAY-CUMBERLAND-DEKALB-FENTRESS-JACKSON-MACON-OVERTON-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-SMITH-TROUSDALE-WARREN-WHITE-
208 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      59 (+21)     74 (-4)      44           79
RH % (24H TREND)      81 (-4)      41 (+19)     93           34
AM 20FT WND (MPH)                  W 9-13                    SE 3-7
PM 20FT WND (MPH)     S 6-10       NW 10-14     N 7-11       SW 4-8
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          30           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.28         0.08         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HR)       5            2
PRECIP BEGIN          9 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1500                      1500
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                4900                      5000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SW 16                     SW  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     SW 13
DISPERSION INDEX      117          88           24           22
LAL                   5            3            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            2
MAXIMUM LVORI         0            0            2            2
RH RECOVERY           GOOD                      EXCELLENT

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ501-251100-
HIGHLAND RIM DISTRICT (NORTH)-
CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-DICKSON-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-
RUTHERFORD-STEWART-SUMNER-WILSON-WILLIAMSON-
208 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      59 (+19)     74 (-6)      46           81
RH % (24H TREND)      70 (-11)     38 (+13)     88           35
AM 20FT WND (MPH)                  W 8-12 G17                S 4-8
PM 20FT WND (MPH)     S 9-13       NW 9-13 G19  W 4-8        S 6-10
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.68         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HR)       6
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM
PRECIP END            6 AM
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1500                      1300
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                4800                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                W 12                      SW  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      SW 15
DISPERSION INDEX      101          72           25           31
LAL                   5            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MAXIMUM LVORI         0            0            2            2
RH RECOVERY           MODERATE                  GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS WARM.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ502-251100-
HIGHLAND RIM DISTRICT (SOUTH)-
BEDFORD-GILES-HARDIN-HICKMAN-LEWIS-LAWRENCE-LINCOLN-MARSHALL-
MAURY-MOORE-PERRY-WAYNE-
208 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      59 (+18)     75 (-6)      46           81
RH % (24H TREND)      75 (-8)      37 (+8)      90           35
AM 20FT WND (MPH)                  W 10-14                   S 4-8
PM 20FT WND (MPH)     S 10-14      NW 9-13      NW 4-8       S 7-11
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     90           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.68         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HR)       6
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM
PRECIP END            6 AM
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1400                      1300
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                4500                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NW  7                     S  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     S 14
DISPERSION INDEX      123          58           19           25
LAL                   5            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3            3
MAXIMUM LVORI         0            0            2            2
RH RECOVERY           MODERATE                  GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.

$$
31







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