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063
FNUS54 KMRX 211848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING COOLER
AIR INTO THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CLOUDS WILL PERSIST OVER
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
BEFORE ERODING. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS MAY OCCUR WITH THE CLOUD COVER
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. DRY WEATHER AND A WARMING TREND WILL MARK
THE LATTER PORTION OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   50-55 (-4)   34-39        57-62
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  53-58 (-5)   95-100       37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N 10
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G17                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-10)  48-53 (-5)   34-39        55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   48-53 (-12)  85-90        36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G21                 NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW 11 G21    NW  5 G15    NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 14
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 NW  7 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW 14 G27    NW  7 G19    NW  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-222000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   51-56 (-5)   33-38        58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   38-43 (-13)  80-85        34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8 G21                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  9 G21     N  5         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 17                     NE 12
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE 11 G27                 N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     N 11 G26     N  6         N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-222000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   58-63 (-3)   34-39        63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   33-38 (-12)  82-87        28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6 G15                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      N  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 17                     NE 14
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8 G19                 N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     LGT/VAR      N  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-222000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   60-65 (-2)   33-38        65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   28-33 (-13)  83-88        25-30
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      N  9
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7 G16                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-9)   54-59 (-6)   35-40        61-66
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   44-49 (-6)   87-92        33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      N  7
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G16                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      W  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   56-61 (-5)   34-39        63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  40-45 (-7)   89-94        33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 14                     NE 10
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   22 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-4)   60-65 (-5)   36-41        64-69
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   35-40 (-6)   89-94        31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G18                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     NE 16
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G22                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N 10 G21     N  5         N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$




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