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691
FNUS54 KMEG 202105
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
305 PM CST THU NOV 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...WARMER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
MIDSOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT CAUSING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. THE RAIN WILL DIMINISH FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE
DAY SUNDAY AS THE LOW PULLS TO THE NORTHEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO WARM WITH LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 CLIMBING TO
AROUND 70 DEGREES.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-211115-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
305 PM CST THU NOV 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     20           50           40           40
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.04         0.04         0.04
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                   2            2            2
PRECIP BEGINS                      6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      35 (+9)      48 (0)       46           60
RH % (24H TREND)      81 (-7)      55 (+19)     97           62
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                E 6-10                    S 7-11
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      E 5-9        SE 4-8       SE 3-7
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 250                       398
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                820                       1305
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 336                       484
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1102                      1589
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                E  6                      S  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 13                      S 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2016                      3388
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              53                        60
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               E  8                      S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               E 19                      S 22
DISPERSION INDEX      14           20           12           41
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2            2
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS...SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-211115-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
305 PM CST THU NOV 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           50           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.01         0.04         0.04         0.02
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            2            2            1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      42 (+10)     58 (+4)      50           65
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (-7)      59 (+20)     87           49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                E 4-8                     S 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 2-6       E 4-8        SE 4-8       SE 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 405                       746
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1330                      2447
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 467                       808
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1533                      2651
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SE  5                     S  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     S 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2335                      5656
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              60                        61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SE  7                     S  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SE 16                     S 20
DISPERSION INDEX      12           16           10           36
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3            2
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-211115-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
305 PM CST THU NOV 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            20           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                             1
PRECIP BEGINS                                                6 AM
PRECIP ENDS                                                  CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      28 (+4)      48 (+2)      45           60
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (-3)      46 (+10)     83           53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                E 5-9                     S 7-11 G17
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      E 5-9        SE 3-7       S 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 253                       535
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                831                       1756
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 375                       658
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1231                      2160
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                E  5                      S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 12                      S 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  1875                      5264
CATEGORY DAY                       1                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              51                        59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               E  7                      S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               E 16                      S 22
DISPERSION INDEX      13           21           11           38
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3            3
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-211115-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
305 PM CST THU NOV 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     20           30           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.01         0.01         0.01
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                   2            1            1
PRECIP BEGINS                      6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      34 (+7)      53 (+1)      47           62
RH % (24H TREND)      82 (-5)      49 (+16)     82           51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                E 4-8                     S 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      E 4-8        SE 2-6       SE 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 176                       640
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                577                       2100
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 297                       763
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                976                       2503
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                E  5                      S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      S 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  1485                      6104
CATEGORY DAY                       1                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              55                        59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SE  8                     S  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SE 17                     S 20
DISPERSION INDEX      11           18           11           37
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3            3
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS...SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-211115-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
305 PM CST THU NOV 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           40           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.02         0.01         0.01
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                   2            2            1
PRECIP BEGINS                      6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      44 (+11)     60 (+4)      50           67
RH % (24H TREND)      94 (0)       67 (+27)     81           46
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                E 4-8                     SE 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      SE 4-8       SE 4-8       SE 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 923                       740
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3029                      2427
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 995                       811
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3264                      2662
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SE  6                     SE  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     SE 15
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  5970                      5677
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              61                        61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SE  6                     SE  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SE 13                     SE 18
DISPERSION INDEX      10           23           10           32
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            3            4            3
LVORI
STABILITY             C            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-211115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
305 PM CST THU NOV 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     20           30           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      40 (+7)      59 (+2)      47           66
RH % (24H TREND)      90 (+6)      60 (+27)     81           51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                E 3-7                     SE 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      E 3-7        SE 2-6       SE 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 574                       615
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1883                      2017
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 698                       739
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                2289                      2423
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SE  5                     SE  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     SE 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3490                      5173
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              58                        59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SE  5                     SE  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SE 12                     SE 18
DISPERSION INDEX      9            16           11           33
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  2            3            4            4
LVORI
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SJM




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