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519
FNUS53 KJKL 191020
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
620 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...MAINLY DRY WEATHER AS HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER INTO THE START OF THE WEEKEND.
HOWEVER...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
BEGIN TO APPROACH EASTERN KENTUCKY ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...INTO SATURDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT...BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-104-106>109-111-112-
114-200330-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-
MAGOFFIN-LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE
620 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (34400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....72.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (71800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ085>088-110-113-115>120-200330-
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-
MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
620 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (31600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....39.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (38500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP






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