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596
FNUS53 KJKL 231937
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
337 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASED FIRE DANGER ON THURSDAY WITH RH BELOW 25 PERCENT IN THE
EASTERN THIRD OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. THE WINDS WILL BE BELOW CRITICAL
VALUES...HOWEVER WITH THE LACK OF PRECIPITATION...THE FUELS SHOULD
BE VERY RECEPTIVE.

KYZ068-069-079-080-083>087-116-241245-
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-
CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...MANCHESTER
337 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FROST IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (52200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 - 0.41 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....101.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (101000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.16 INCHES.

$$

KYZ052-104-106-107-109-110-119-120-241245-
ROWAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
337 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-40.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......37 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FROST IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-24 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER EARLY...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 - 0.17 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....113.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (112600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 - 0.22 INCHES.

$$

KYZ044-050-051-058>060-088-108-111>115-117-118-241245-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-HARLAN-WOLFE-LEE-
BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...HARLAN...CAMPTON...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...HYDEN...
WHITESBURG
337 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FROST IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-29 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (36800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER EARLY...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 - 0.31 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....107.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (107400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 - 0.22 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE AT NIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JJ






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