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482
FNUS53 KJKL 191030
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
630 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

...DRY CONDITIONS AND GOOD DISPERSION TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY A CONCERN ONCE AGAIN BY
SUNDAY. FORTUNATELY...FOR WILDFIRE BEHAVIOR...WINDS WILL AROUND 10
MPH OR LESS FOR MOST OF THE TIME...THOUGH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF THIS AFTERNOON...ANY FIRES MAY
HAVE A TOUGH TIME WITH SMOKE DISPERSAL. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY AND HANG AROUND INTO TUESDAY AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY MOVES THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY.

KYZ044-050-051-200330-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE
630 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOW 70S.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....92.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (92100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND WARM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75 TO 80.
   24 HR TREND......AROUND 5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (51000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-200330-
ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG
630 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 75.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....103.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (102900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOWER 40S VALLEYS TO NEAR 50 RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND WARM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 70S.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (45900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ086>088-104-106>120-200330-
KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-
BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...
PIKEVILLE
630 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 75.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....102.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (102200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOWER 40S VALLEYS AND NEAR 50 RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND WARM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 70S.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......AROUND 5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (48200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AT 5 TO 10
MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AT 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
GREIF





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