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FNUS52 KILM 232028
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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
328 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MILD AND UNSETTLED WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY
AS A STORM SYSTEM RISES OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND ON MONDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE COAST AND STALL OFFSHORE TUESDAY. COOL AND
WET CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...AS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE
MOVES NORTH ALONG THE STALLED FRONT AND SKIRTS THE COAST. SKIES
WILL BEGIN A CLEARING TREND ON THANKSGIVING...WITH TEMPERATURES
RUNNING SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.


FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE

NCZ105>110-241230-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
328 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           40           20           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        RAIN
LAL                   2            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          65           77           53           62
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 17 G30     SW 15 G26    SW 11 G22    W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 16 G26     SW 16 G27    W  8         NW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.10         0.04         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       9            4            1            2
INVERSION             1800         69/0600      2100         57/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        95           78           95           56
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1490                      890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 10
VENTILATION RATE                   34270                     8900
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      30 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  11 POOR
ADI LATE              20 GEN POOR  40 FAIR      12 POOR      13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-241230-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
328 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           40           20           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        RAIN
LAL                   2            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           77           49           61
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE 11        SW 13 G21    SW 10        W  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 13         SW 14 G23    W  7         W  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.10         0.02         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1            1
INVERSION             1800         69/0900      2100         54/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           74           94           50
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2270                      1770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W  8
VENTILATION RATE                   47670                     14160
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  41 GEN GOOD  14 GEN POOR  11 POOR
ADI LATE              16 GEN POOR  44 GEN GOOD  11 POOR      16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-241230-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
328 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           40           20           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        RAIN
LAL                   2            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          66           76           51           62
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 14 G23     SW 14 G23    SW  8        W  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 13 G21     SW 14 G24    W  7         NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.10         0.04         0.08
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1            3
INVERSION             1800         70/0600      2100         55/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        94           77           94           56
DSI                                1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1990                      1290
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 12
VENTILATION RATE                   43780                     15480
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  40 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  12 POOR
ADI LATE              15 GEN POOR  42 GEN GOOD  11 POOR      16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-241230-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
328 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           40           20           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        RAIN
LAL                   2            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          64           77           49           61
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 10         SW 13 G21    SW  7        W  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 11         SW 14 G23    W  6         W  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.09         0.02         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1            1
INVERSION             1800         70/0900      2100         53/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           73           93           53
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2410                      1820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W  9
VENTILATION RATE                   50610                     16380
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  42 GEN GOOD  12 POOR      13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              14 GEN POOR  45 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-241230-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
328 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           40           20           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        RAIN
LAL                   2            2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          58           77           47           60
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SE  9        SW 13 G22    SW 10        W  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 12         SW 15 G24    W  7         LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.09         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            0            1
INVERSION             1800         67/0900      2100         51/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          72           88           50
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2520                      2330
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     SW  7
VENTILATION RATE                   57960                     16310
ADI EARLY             14 GEN POOR  43 GEN GOOD  14 GEN POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              16 GEN POOR  49 GEN GOOD  12 POOR      19 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            5            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

8






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