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FNUS53 KGRR 171919
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
319 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

...COOL FRIDAY THEN WARMING FOR THE WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE
WILL BE SOME RAIN SHOWERS ALONG THIS FRONT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. AFTER SOME RAIN SHOWERS EARLY ON
FRIDAY...CLOUDS WILL DECREASE ACROSS THE AREA. MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF SUNDAY. A CHANCE OF
RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

MIZ037>039-043>045-180830-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
319 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 48-53 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 3
                    DEGREES COOLER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 35-40
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 4
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4600-5100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1300-1800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT
                    AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG LAKE MICHIGAN...17 PERCENT
                    DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4500-5000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-180830-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
319 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-180830-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
319 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...600-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1100.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5300-5800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-180830-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
319 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1100.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-180830-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
319 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.14 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.



$$







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