653
FNUS54 KEPZ 221248
FWFEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
648 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013

.DISCUSSION...
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES YESTERDAY WILL QUICKLY REBOUND BACK
TO ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL TODAY AS SW FLOW RESUMES.
GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL PUSH WESTWARDS
INTO THE TRANS-PECOS REGION RESULTING IN SOME THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TO OUR IMMEDIATE EAST THURSDAY EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT
IN OUTFLOW WHICH WILL FURTHER PUSH THE MOISTURE AND DRYLINE
BOUNDARY WESTWARDS AND REACHING THE RIO GRANDE BY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE MOISTURE WILL MIX OUT AND THE DRYLINE WILL SHIFT EAST TO EAST
SLOPES OF THE SACRAMENTOS/GUADALUPES IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE WEEKEND...MAINLY EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE
AND FAVORING THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHILE SLIGHTLY BREEZY AND DRIER
SOUTHWEST FLOW PREVAILS OVER SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO. BEING ON THE
MARGINAL WESTWARD FRINGES OF THE MOISTURE SUGGESTS A BETTER CHANCE
FOR DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES ESPECIALLY OVER THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
OTERO MESA AND HUDSPETH COUNTY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND
LIKELY INTO THE WEEKEND AS WELL.

AFTER THE MOISTURE PUSHES OUT SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS COULD LEAD TO NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS.

&&

...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...

...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE   (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING    (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO   (6900 FT)

VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.


NMZ110-222100-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110
 SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
648 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
   ABOVE 7500 FT....73-78.
   BELOW 7500 FT....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........
   ABOVE 7500 FT....7-9 PCT.
   BELOW 7500 FT....6-8 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 27
                    MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 16 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 17500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 19 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (319900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PCT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....
   ABOVE 7500 FT....43-48.
   BELOW 7500 FT....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........
   ABOVE 7500 FT....25-30 PCT.
   BELOW 7500 FT....22-27 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
   ABOVE 7500 FT....74-79.
   BELOW 7500 FT....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........
   ABOVE 7500 FT....6-10 PCT.
   BELOW 7500 FT....6-8 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (303100 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46 TO 51. HIGHS 81 TO 86. 20-FT
WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 7 TO 12%.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44 TO 49. HIGHS 80 TO 85. 20-FT
WINDS SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 8 TO 13%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46 TO 51. HIGHS 81 TO 86. 20-FT
WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 5 TO 10%.


$$

NMZ111-222100-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111
 SOUTHERN DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
648 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-7 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 16 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 17500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (250200 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PCT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-59.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........18-22 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-7 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 24 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (265400 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH
6 TO 11%.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 7 TO 12%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH
5 TO 10%.


$$

NMZ112-222100-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112
 SOUTHCENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-LNZ-
648 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-6 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 24 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 20 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 18000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (264500 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PCT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........15-19 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-7 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 17400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (278800 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
58 TO 63. HIGHS 89 TO 94. 20-FT WINDS SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH
7 TO 12%.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 89 TO 94. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 8 TO 13%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60 TO 65. HIGHS 90 TO 95. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 6 TO 11%.


$$

NMZ113-222100-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113
 CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
648 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
   ABOVE 7500 FT....71-76.
   BELOW 7500 FT....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........
   ABOVE 7500 FT....8-10 PCT.
   BELOW 7500 FT....5-7 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 18800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (271900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PCT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....
   ABOVE 7500 FT....45-50.
   BELOW 7500 FT....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........
   ABOVE 7500 FT....20-24 PCT.
   BELOW 7500 FT....17-22 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
   ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77.
   BELOW 7500 FT....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........
   ABOVE 7500 FT....10-12 PCT.
   BELOW 7500 FT....7-9 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 28 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......17800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 20000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (304500 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 53 TO 58. HIGHS 80 TO 85. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 12 TO 17%.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 50 TO 55. HIGHS 80 TO 85. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 16 TO 21%.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54 TO 59. HIGHS 81 TO 86. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM RH 7 TO 12%.


$$

TXZ055-222100-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
 EL PASO COUNTY-
648 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-93.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 13 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (171800 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PCT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........12-16 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PCT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-7 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 15 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (185500 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 64 TO 69. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 10 TO 15%.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62 TO 67. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 14 TO 19%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 66 TO 71. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 7 TO 12%.


$$

TXZ056-222100-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
 HUDSPETH COUNTY-
648 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-7 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (180300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PCT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-63.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-30 PCT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PCT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PCT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-12 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 21 MPH.
CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PCT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (209900 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS 89 TO 94. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 17 TO 22%.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60 TO 65. HIGHS 89 TO 94. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 20 TO 25%.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 63 TO 68. HIGHS 90 TO 95. 20-FT WINDS
 SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 11 TO 16%.


$$

FCSTR - 26