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335
FNUS53 KDTX 310802
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
402 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TODAY FOLLOWED BY AN
INTRUSION OF ARCTIC AIR TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT ON SATURDAY
BUT VERY COLD AIR WILL LINGER INTO EARLY SUNDAY. A WARMER AND MOIST
MOIST AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-312130-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
402 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS.
                    POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTH 20
                    TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4210-4710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    40 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (166240).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 4 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (31860).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4910-5410 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (120160).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-312130-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
402 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER 5 PM. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTH 20
                    TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3630-4130 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (174280).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AFTER 2 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3140-3340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 35 TO 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (70340).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL NOON...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5280-5780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (166470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-312130-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
402 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS.
                    POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4810-5310 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    35 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (119370).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1780-1980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (32730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5350-5850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (153560).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

$$

JVC/SC




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