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734
FNUS53 KAPX 161024
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
624 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

...WINTRY PRECIPITATION TODAY AND THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
MICHIGAN...

DISCUSSION...
A SYSTEM ORGANIZING OVER THE PLAINS WILL LIFT INTO THE GREAT LAKES
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE EXITING NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC ON THURSDAY.
THIS PATTERN WILL GENERATE SOME SNOW ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN TODAY WITH
A WINTRY MIX EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN THURSDAY.

SOME SUN AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AS A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AS A CANADIAN
SYSTEM PUSHES OVER ONTARIO.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-162030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
624 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (710).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (240).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (950).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-162030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
624 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (750).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0800 UNTIL
                    1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (870).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-162030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
624 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1150).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0800 UNTIL
                    1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (820).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-162030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
624 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 52-57 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (770).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-162030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
624 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (930).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0800 UNTIL
                    1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SR






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