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FNUS28 KWNS 222144
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

VALID 241200Z - 301200Z

THE PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH LARGE-SCALE CYCLONIC FLOW ESTABLISHED
ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS. BY MID WEEK...A DEEP TROUGH WILL PROGRESS
TOWARDS THE EAST COAST...WITH A RIDGE BECOMING ESTABLISHED ALONG THE
WEST COAST. TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD...THE OVERALL FLOW LOOKS
TO BECOME MORE ZONAL ACROSS THE CONUS AS THE EAST COAST TROUGH
DE-AMPLIFIES. ACROSS THE ERN CONUS...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE
LOW...AS A RELATIVELY COOL AIR MASS REMAINS ESTABLISHED AND AREAS OF
STRONG WINDS FAIL TO OVERLAP AREAS OF LOW RH VALUES.

...SRN CA...
WITH SFC RIDGING REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SRN CA THROUGH D5/WED.
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME PROGRESSIVELY WARMER/DRIER EACH DAY DURING
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK...WITH THE LOWEST RH VALUES LIKELY BEING
ACHIEVED BY D4/TUE-D5/WED. WHILE SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS
REGARDING THE STRENGTH OF THE SFC PRES GRADIENT AND NE FLOW...WINDS
LOOK TO BE BREEZY EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY IN TERRAIN-FAVORED AREAS OF
THE COASTAL RANGES AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. THEREFORE AFTER
COLLABORATION WITH LOX/SGX...CONSIDERING THE RELATIVELY HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES...AND THAT FINE FUELS WILL
CONTINUE TO DRY CONSIDERABLY THROUGH MID-WEEK...A 40-PERCENT
DELINEATION HAS BEEN INTRODUCED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN CA FOR
D3/MON-D5/WED.

..PICCA.. 11/22/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...





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