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851
FXUS64 KEWX 250829
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
329 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE PHOTOS SHOW A DRY AIRMASS PUSHING
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS MORNING. IT ALSO SHOWS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING PARALLEL TO THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS
FEATURE COULD LEAD TO VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES. OTHERWISE...PARTLY CLOUDY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S
FOR MOST AREAS AND NEAR 100 ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.
SUBTROPICAL HIGH CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER
THE WEEKEND FOR PLENTY SUNSHINE AND HOT TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
SUBTROPICAL HIGH WILL DOMINATE THE AREA FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND
INTO MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. BY TUESDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH SHIFTS
TO THE WEST AND INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AS A LONG UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DOMINATES THE EASTERN HALF OF CONUS. ALONG THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH...SEVERAL SHORT-WAVES ARE FORECAST TO PUSH
FROM NORTH TEXAS INTO OUR AREA LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THESE
SHORT-WAVES COULD BECOME MCS`S AND GENERATE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN MAINLY ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND EASTERN
COUNTIES. AT THE SAME TIME...A WEAK SURFACE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY/CONVERGENCE ZONE IS EXPECTED TO SIT ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HILL COUNTRY WITH DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO FEEDING
INTO IT WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.8 TO 2 INCHES. A
SECOND WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STALL ACROSS CENTRAL
TEXAS ON THURSDAY WHILE SEVERAL SHORT-WAVES PULSES MOVE FROM
CENTRAL TEXAS INTO OUR FAR EASTERN COUNTIES. THESE WILL PRODUCE
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN
ONE-THIRD OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. STORM RAINFALL TOTALS COULD
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES AND UP TO 5 INCHES OVER ISOLATED SPOTS IF
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS VERIFIED.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  75 100  75  99 /  -   -   -   -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  72  99  73  99 /  -   -   -   -   -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     98  73  99  74  99 /  -   -   -   -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            97  73  97  73  97 /  -   -   -   -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  77 100  78 100 /  -   -   -   -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        97  74  98  74  98 /  -   -   -   -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             97  73  99  73  98 /  -   -   -   -   -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  73  99  74  99 /  -   -   -   -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   97  75  96  76  97 /  -   -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       97  76  98  76  98 /  -   -   -   -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  74 100  75  99 /  -   -   -   -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...29
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...17
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...00








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