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449
FGUS63 KKRF 211617
ESPKRF

MISSOURI  BASIN RIVER  FORECAST  CENTER WATER  SUPPLY  STATEMENT
ISSUED IN COOPERATION WITH NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE
ISSUED:  JANUARY 21, 2015


UPPER MISSOURI BASIN

THE HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PACK IN THE UPPER MISSOURI BASIN AS OF
JANUARY 1 WAS ABOVE AVERAGE.  THE SNOW PACK ABOVE TOSTON,  MONTANA
WAS 126 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.  THE SNOW PACK BETWEEN TOSTON AND FORT
PECK, MONTANA WAS 121 PERCENT.  THE SNOW PACK IN THE ST MARY AND
MILK RIVER BASINS WAS 91 PERCENT.

DECEMBER PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE UPPER MISSOURI BASIN WAS ABOVE
AVERAGE.  BASIN PRECIPITATION SUMMARIES FOR THE MISSOURI BASIN
INCLUDE: MILK ST. MARY,  310 PERCENT; MILK CANADA, 211 PERCENT;
LOWER MILK, 56 PERCENT; ABOVE TOSTON, 129 PERCENT; TOSTON TO FT.
PECK, 117 PERCENT.

STREAM FLOW IN THE UPPER MISSOURI BASIN IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR
AVERAGE DURING THE UPCOMING SPRING AND SUMMER.  THE ST. MARY RIVER
IS FORECAST TO HAVE 92 PERCENT OF AVERAGE APRIL-SEPTEMBER FLOWS.
RUNOFF IS EXPECTED TO RANGE AROUND 99 PERCENT OF AVERAGE FOR THE
MISSOURI BASIN ABOVE FORT PECK, MONTANA.

OF THE FOUR MAJOR IRRIGATION RESERVOIRS IN MONTANA:  LIMA RESERVOIR
HAD 115 PERCENT AVERAGE STORAGE, CLARK CANYON WAS HOLDING 77 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE WATER, GIBSON RESERVOIR HAD 57 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORED
WATER, AND FRESNO RESERVOIR HAD 159 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORED WATER.

THE  MAJOR  HYDROELECTRIC  RESERVOIRS  IN  MONTANA (CANYON  FERRY
AND FORT PECK) HAD MONTHEND STORAGE IN THE NEAR AVERAGE RANGE; 101
AND 113 PERCENT OF AVERAGE WATER, RESPECTIVELY.

YELLOWSTONE BASIN

THE HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PACK IN THE YELLOWSTONE BASIN WAS AVERAGE ON
JANUARY 1.  THE SNOW PACK IN THE UPPER YELLOWSTONE BASIN WAS 116
PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL.  THE SNOW PACKS IN THE WIND, BIGHORN,
AND SHOSHONE BASINS WERE 100, 106, AND 108 PERCENT OF AVERAGE,
RESPECTIVELY.  THE SNOW PACKS IN THE TONGUE AND POWDER BASINS WERE
90 AND 112 PERCENT OF AVERAGE, RESPECTIVELY.

PRECIPITATION DURING DECEMBER WAS ABOVE AVERAGE.  THE UPPER
YELLOWSTONE RIVER BASIN RECEIVED 113 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION WHILE THE LOWER YELLOWSTONE BASIN REPORTED 94 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE.  THE BIGHORN BASIN RECEIVED 207 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION WHILE THE WIND RIVER BASIN RECEIVED 200 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE. THE LITTLE BIGHORN - UPPER TONGUE BASIN RECEIVED 202
PERCENT OF AVERAGE AND THE POWDER RIVER HAD 130 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION.

FORECAST STREAM FLOW IN THE YELLOWSTONE BASIN IS NEAR AVERAGE FOR
THE UPCOMING SPRING AND SUMMER.  STREAM FLOW FOR THE WIND-BIGHORN
BASIN ABOVE ST. XAVIER, MONTANA IS FORECAST TO BE ABOUT 92 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE.  FLOW IN THE TONGUE BASIN IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 93
PERCENT OF AVERAGE.  FLOWS IN THE POWDER RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO BE
ABOUT 107 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

MONTHEND STORAGE AT BOYSEN RESERVOIR WAS 123 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
STORED WATER IN BUFFALO BILL RESERVOIR WAS 131 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
MONTHEND STORAGE WAS 105 PERCENT OF AVERAGE AT BIGHORN RESERVOIR.

PLATTE BASIN

THE HIGH ELEVATION  SNOW PACK IN THE UPPER NORTH PLATTE BASIN WAS
101 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ON JANUARY 1.  THE SNOW PACK IN THE NORTH
PLATTE  BASIN BELOW SEMINOE RESERVOIR WAS 104 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
THE SNOW PACK IN THE SOUTH PLATTE BASIN WAS 113 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

DECEMBER PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE PLATTE BASIN WAS ABOVE AVERAGE.
PRECIPITATION DURING DECEMBER IN THE NORTH PLATTE BASIN ABOVE
SEMINOE RESERVOIR WAS 115 PERCENT OF AVERAGE. IN THE NORTH PLATTE
BASIN BETWEEN SEMINOE RESERVOIR AND GUERNSY RESERVOIR PRECIPITATION
WAS 177 PERCENT OF AVERAGE. THE NORTH PLATTE BASIN BELOW GUERNSY
RESERVOIR HAD 211 PERCENT OF AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.  THE HIGH
ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTH PLATTE BASIN HAD 121 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION WHEREAS THE PLAINS HAD 221 PERCENT OF AVERAGE DECEMBER
PRECIPITATION.

STREAM FLOW IN THE PLATTE BASIN IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR AVERAGE
DURING THE UPCOMING SPRING AND SUMMER. RUNOFF FOR STREAMS ABOVE
SEMINOE RESERVOIR ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 92 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
STREAM FLOWS FOR THE NORTH PLATTE BELOW SEMINOE RESERVOIR ARE
FORECAST TO BE 88 PERCENT OF AVERAGE. STREAMS IN THE SOUTH PLATTE
BASIN ABOVE SOUTH PLATTE, COLORADO CAN EXPECT 103 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
FLOW. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH PLATTE BASIN FLOWS ARE EXPECTED
NEAR 100 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.

STORED WATER IN THE SOUTH PLATTE BASIN WAS 124 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ON
JANUARY 1.  STORED WATER IN THE NORTH PLATTE BASIN WAS 118 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE



WATER SUPPLY FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
455 PM CST MON JAN 12 2015

DISSEMINATED WITH PERMISSION OF THE
US NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE

DATA CURRENT AS OF: JANUARY 06 2015
BASED ON JANUARY 01 2015 FORECAST VALUES


FINAL MISSOURI/YELLOWSTONE/PLATTE RIVER BASIN FORECASTS
                                           50% % OF  MAX   MIN 30-YR
FORECAST POINT                     PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) AVG
--------------                     ------ --------- ----- ----------
ST. MARY R NR BABB (2)             APR-JUL  335  91   420   255  370
                                   APR-SEP  390  92   475   305  425
LIMA RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)          APR-JUL   65  79   101    29   82
                                   APR-SEP   69  78   110    28   89
CLARK CANYON RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)  APR-JUL   79  78   178 -15.0  101
                                   APR-SEP   96  80   205  -4.0  120
BEAVERHEAD R AT BARRETTS (2)       APR-JUL  110  85   235    25  129
                                   APR-SEP  134  86   280    35  156
BIG HOLE R NR MELROSE              APR-JUL  700 136   955   445  515
                                   APR-SEP  750 134  1030   475  560
RUBY R RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)        APR-JUL   59  77    92    26   77
                                   APR-SEP   72  79   110    34   91
HEBGEN RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)        APR-JUL  330  89   415   245  370
                                   APR-SEP  425  90   525   320  470
ENNIS RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)         APR-JUL  545  87   700   390  625
                                   APR-SEP  690  89   870   505  775
GALLATIN R NR GATEWAY              APR-JUL  370  93   480   260  400
                                   APR-SEP  430  91   555   305  470
GALLATIN R AT LOGAN                APR-JUL  420  95   605   235  440
                                   APR-SEP  485  96   690   280  505
MISSOURI R AT TOSTON (2)           APR-JUL 1730  97  2500   965 1790
                                   APR-SEP 2010  97  2900  1120 2070
MISSOURI R AT FORT BENTON (2)      APR-JUL 2570  98  3560  1570 2610
                                   APR-SEP 3070  99  4240  1900 3110
MISSOURI R NR VIRGELLE (2)         APR-JUL 2970  99  4080  1860 3000
                                   APR-SEP 3480  99  4780  2170 3520
MISSOURI R NR LANDUSKY (2)         APR-JUL 3160 100  4320  2010 3160
                                   APR-SEP 3710 100  5080  2350 3720
MISSOURI R BLW FT PECK DAM (2)     APR-JUL 3260 101  4440  2080 3240
                                   APR-SEP 3700 100  5220  2170 3700
LAKE SAKAKAWEA INFLOW (2)          APR-JUL 8630 104 11300  5920 8310
                                   APR-SEP 9750 104 13100  6370 9400
SHEEP CK NR WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS  APR-JUL 18.8 121    25  13.0 15.5
                                   APR-SEP   22 120    29  15.5 18.4
GIBSON RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)        APR-JUL  425 108   545   305  395
                                   APR-SEP  470 107   595   345  440
MARIAS R NR SHELBY (2)             APR-JUL  380 110   580   181  345
                                   APR-SEP  390 108   595   185  360
NF MUSSELSHELL R NR DELPINE        APR-JUL  3.9 115   6.7  1.17  3.4
                                   APR-SEP  4.6 115   7.8  1.45  4.0
SF MUSSELSHELL R AB MARTINSDALE    APR-JUL   37 106    74  1.00   35
                                   APR-SEP   39 103    78  1.00   38
MUSSELSHELL R AT HARLOWTON (2)     APR-JUL   66 116   128   2.8   57
                                   APR-SEP   68 115   135  0.73   59
MILK R AT WESTERN CROSSING         MAR-SEP   35 107    61    20   33*
MILK R AT EASTERN CROSSING         MAR-SEP   84 103   155    44   82*
YELLOWSTONE R AT YELLOWSTONE LAKE  APR-JUL  570  99   710   430  575
                                   APR-SEP  750  97   930   570  770
YELLOWSTONE R AT CORWIN SPRINGS    APR-JUL 1700 107  2040  1360 1590
                                   APR-SEP 2000 106  2400  1600 1880
YELLOWSTONE R AT LIVINGSTON        APR-JUL 1940 108  2340  1540 1800
                                   APR-SEP 2290 107  2750  1820 2140
YELLOWSTONE R AT BILLINGS          APR-JUL 3470 107  4310  2640 3230
                                   APR-SEP 4020 108  5020  3030 3730
YELLOWSTONE R AT MILES CITY (2)    APR-JUL 5020 105  6450  3600 4780
                                   APR-SEP 5730 105  7410  4060 5450
YELLOWSTONE R NR SIDNEY (2)        APR-JUL 5110 106  6740  3490 4830
                                   APR-SEP 5750 106  7670  3830 5430
BOULDER R AT BIG TIMBER            APR-JUL  275  98   355   196  280
                                   APR-SEP  295  98   385   205  300
STILLWATER R NR ABSAROKEE (2)      APR-JUL  455 102   565   350  445
                                   APR-SEP  540 104   665   415  520
CLARKS FK YELLOWSTONE R NR BELFRY  APR-JUL  570 112   680   460  510
                                   APR-SEP  615 112   735   495  550
BOYSEN RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)        APR-JUL  530  87   910   148  610
                                   APR-SEP  585  88  1020   153  665
BIGHORN R AT KANE (2)              APR-JUL  800  95  1270   335  840
                                   APR-SEP  865  96  1380   350  905
BIGHORN R NR ST. XAVIER (2)        APR-JUL 1400 101  1970   825 1380
                                   APR-SEP 1480 101  2130   835 1460
GREYBULL R NR MEETEETSE            APR-JUL  149 114   185   113  131
                                   APR-SEP  200 113   250   156  177
SHELL CK NR SHELL                  APR-JUL   50  91    66    35   55
                                   APR-SEP   62  94    78    46   66
BUFFALO BILL RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)  APR-JUL  730 108   890   570  675
                                   APR-SEP  795 107   965   625  745
LITTLE BIGHORN R NR HARDIN         APR-JUL   88  90   140    36   98
                                   APR-SEP  100  90   157    43  111
TONGUE R NR DAYTON (2)             APR-JUL   80  93   114    45   86
                                   APR-SEP   91  93   128    54   98
TONGUE RIVER RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)  APR-JUL  178  92   290    65  193
                                   APR-SEP  199  93   315    81  215
ROCK CK NR BUFFALO                 APR-JUL 19.8 106    26  13.3 18.6
                                   APR-SEP   23 105    30  15.9   22
NF POWDER R NR HAZELTON            APR-JUL 10.1 111  13.3   6.8  9.1
                                   APR-SEP 10.9 110  14.3   7.5  9.9
POWDER R AT MOORHEAD               APR-JUL  189 107   305    73  177
                                   APR-SEP  210 107   330    88  196
POWDER R NR LOCATE                 APR-JUL  215 108   355    74  199
                                   APR-SEP  235 107   390    86  220

UPPER NORTH PLATTE RIVER BASIN
                                           50% % OF  MAX   MIN 30-YR
FORECAST POINT                     PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) AVG
--------------                     ------ --------- ----- ----------
NORTH PLATTE R NR NORTHGATE        APR-JUL  210  93   330    90  225
                                   APR-SEP  235  94   365   103  250
ENCAMPMENT R NR ENCAMPMENT         APR-JUL  115  89   172    57  129
                                   APR-SEP  122  88   182    62  138
ROCK CK NR ARLINGTON               APR-JUL   47  96    65    29   49
                                   APR-SEP   50  96    69    31   52
SEMINOE RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)       APR-JUL  650  91  1070   235  715
                                   APR-SEP  695  90  1140   250  770

LOWER NORTH PLATTE, SWEETWATER & LARAMIE RIVER BASINS
                                           50% % OF  MAX   MIN 30-YR
FORECAST POINT                     PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) AVG
--------------                     ------ --------- ----- ----------
SWEETWATER R NR ALCOVA             APR-JUL   38  64    74  1.24   59
                                   APR-SEP   41  64    80  1.97   64
LA PRELE CK AB LA PRELE RESERVOIR  APR-JUL  9.5  48    28  0.70 19.9
                                   APR-SEP  9.0  45    28  0.70 19.9
NORTH PLATTE R BL GLENDO RES (2)   APR-JUL  720  88   985   455  820
                                   APR-SEP  740  87  1020   460  850
NORTH PLATTE R BL GUERNSEY RES (2) APR-JUL  730  89  1060   405  820
                                   APR-SEP  765  90  1100   425  850
LARAMIE R NR WOODS                 APR-JUL   94  82   131    56  115
                                   APR-SEP  103  82   143    63  126
LITTLE LARAMIE R NR FILMORE        APR-JUL   43  84    63    22   51
                                   APR-SEP   46  84    69    23   55

SOUTH PLATTE RIVER BASIN
                                           50% % OF  MAX   MIN 30-YR
FORECAST POINT                     PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) AVG
--------------                     ------ --------- ----- ----------
ANTERO RESERVOIR INFLOW            APR-JUL 15.0 103    22   7.6 14.5
                                   APR-SEP 18.3 103    27   9.8 17.8
SPINNEY MOUNTAIN RES INFLOW (2)    APR-JUL   50 104    96    26   48
                                   APR-SEP   64 105   131    31   61
ELEVENMILE CANYON RES INFLOW (2)   APR-JUL   53 106   107    26   50
                                   APR-SEP   68 106   149    31   64
CHEESMAN LAKE INFLOW (2)           APR-JUL  102 102   200    52  100
                                   APR-SEP  129 102   260    64  126
SOUTH PLATTE R AT SOUTH PLATTE (2) APR-JUL  182 101   380    88  180
                                   APR-SEP  225 100   470   108  225
BEAR CK AB EVERGREEN               APR-JUL 17.2 105    39   7.6 16.4
                                   APR-SEP   22 105    47  10.2   21
BEAR CK AT MORRISON                APR-JUL 19.6  89    52   7.4   22
                                   APR-SEP   26  93    65  10.2   28
CLEAR CK AT GOLDEN                 APR-JUL  112 107   146    78  105
                                   APR-SEP  136 106   174    97  128
ST. VRAIN CK AT LYONS (2)          APR-JUL   86  98   106    66   88
                                   APR-SEP  100  97   122    78  103
BOULDER CK NR ORODELL (2)          APR-JUL   54 100    65    43   54
                                   APR-SEP   63 100    77    49   63
S BOULDER CK NR ELDORADO SPRINGS(2)APR-JUL   39 100    47    30   39
                                   APR-SEP   43 100    54    31   43
BIG THOMPSON R AT CANYON MOUTH (2) APR-JUL   87  97   108    65   90
                                   APR-SEP  105  98   131    79  107
CACHE LA POUDRE AT CANYON MOUTH (2)APR-JUL  220  98   295   144  225
                                   APR-SEP  245  98   330   160  250

MAX (10%), 30%, 50%, 70% AND MIN (90%) CHANCE THAT ACTUAL VOLUME
WILL EXCEED FORECAST.  AVERAGES ARE FOR THE 1981-2010 PERIOD.
ALL VOLUMES ARE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET.

 FOOTNOTES:
 1) MAX AND MIN ARE 5% AND 95% CHANCE THAT ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED
    FORECAST
 2) STREAMFLOW IS ADJUSTED FOR UPSTREAM STORAGE
 3) MEDIAN VALUE USED IN PLACE OF AVERAGE
* MILK RIVER MEDIANS ARE FOR YEARS 1980-2008




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