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WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OHIO RIVER FORECAST CENTER WILMINGTON OH
300 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS NEAR NORMAL FOR THE OHIO RIVER BASIN AND LAKE
ERIE DRAINAGE.

A NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS OCCASIONAL FLOODING COULD OCCUR WITH
WATER LEVELS REACHING MINOR IMPACTS.

FOR THE LONG-RANGE RIVER OUTLOOKS AND THE PROBABLITY OF EXCEEDING
FLOODSTAGE OR THE CHANCES OF FLOODING RELATIVE TO NORMAL AT
SPECIFIC FORECAST POINTS DURING THE NEXT 90 DAYS...REFER TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OHRFC AND CLICK ON THE 90-DAY RIVER OUTLOOK ON THE
LEFT HAND SIDE OF THE PAGE. CLICK ON FLOOD CHC VS NORMAL TO VIEW
THE RISK OF FLOODING WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL.

FLOOD OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED BI-WEEKLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DURING WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR
WINTER/SPRING FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND
EXPECTED CONDITIONS DURING THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

IN ADDITION...A 90-DAY WATER RESOURCE OUTLOOK IS ISSUED MONTHLY.

FACTORS CONSIDERED IN ASSESSING FLOOD POTENTIAL ARE (1) ANTECEDENT
CONDITIONS (2) PAST PRECIPITATION (3) RECENT STREAMFLOWS AND
RESERVOIR LEVELS (4) SOIL MOISTURE (5) WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOW
PACK (6) ICE CONDITIONS ON THE RIVERS AND (7) FUTURE PRECIPITATION.

THIS SPRING...PRECIPITATION HAS AVERAGED ABOVE NORMAL FOR ALL BUT
THE SOUTHEAST DRAINAGE OF THE OHIO RIVER BASIN WHERE RAINFALL HAS
BEEN BELOW NORMAL.

SOILS ARE ABNORMALLY MOIST EXCEPT IN THE CUMBERLAND...SANDY AND
KANAWHA BASINS.

STREAMFLOWS ARE NEAR NORMAL.

NO SNOW OR ICE.

TELECONNECTION SIGNALS ARE SUGGESTING A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
IN EARLY SPRING FOR THE OHIO RIVER BASIN/LAKE ERIE DRAINAGE. WITH
THE SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM LIFTING NORTHWARD...MOISTER STORM SYSTEMS
ARE FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY LEADING TO NORMAL TO
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL. HIGH FLOWS AND OCCASIONAL FLOODING CAN BE
EXPECTED...WHICH IS NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

$$
WHEELER






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