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329
FGUS64 KORN 211826
ESGORN

FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER, SLIDELL LA
1225 PM CST WEDNESDAY JANUARY 21 2015

EAST TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION - SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
              NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER FORECAST CENTER - SLIDELL, LA
          VALID FOR THURSDAY JANUARY 22 2015


STREAMFLOW DATA PROVIDED BY THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY AND
THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS.

...FOR EASTERN REGION...WFOS GSP AND RNK ONLY...

...INTRODUCTION...

THE AREA CONTINUES TO BE DRY WITH MINIMAL PRECIPITATION OCCURRING DURING
THE PAST TWO WEEKS. THE LACK OF PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
HAS KEPT EVEN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS SNOW FREE.

REGION WIDE...STREAMFLOW AND SOIL MOISTURE VALUES ARE STARTING TO TREND TOWARDS
BELOW NORMAL LEVELS.

THE CURRENT PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS INDICATE
WIDESPREAD MEAN AREAL AMOUNTS OF .75 TO 1.5 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT OVER
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST NORTH CAROLINA.

...FRENCH BROAD/UPPER PIGEON...LITTLE TENNESSEE...TUCKASEGEE
...AND HIWASSEE BASINS (WFO GSP)...

STREAMFLOWS ARE RUNNING BELOW NORMAL ALONG ALL RIVERS IN THE OUTLOOK AREA.
SOIL MOISTURE CONTENT AND PRECIPITATION ARE RUNNING BELOW NORMAL. NO FLOODING
IS OCCURRING AND OBSERVED DAILY STREAMFLOWS AS A PERCENT OF MEAN ARE GIVEN
BELOW.

         1/7  1/21
FRENCH BROAD RIVER          ASHEVILLE NC    141%  65%
PIGEON RIVER                    HEPCO NC    122%  63%
TUCKASEGEE RIVER          BRYSON CITY NC    105%  69%
LITTLE TENNESSEE RIVER       NEEDMORE NC    127%  55%

BASED ON EXISTING SOIL MOISTURE CONTENT...STREAMFLOWS...AND CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER OUTLOOKS...AN BELOW AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED FOR THE FRENCH
BROAD...UPPER LITTLE TENNESSEE...TUCKASEGEE...AND PIGEON RIVER BASINS.


...UPPER CLINCH AND UPPER HOLSTON BASINS (WFO RNK)...

STREAMFLOWS ARE RUNNING BELOW NORMAL ALONG THE UPPER CLINCH AND UPPER HOLSTON
RIVERS. SOIL MOISTURE CONTENT IS GENERALLY BELOW NORMAL AND NO FLOODING IS
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. OBSERVED DAILY STREAMFLOWS
AS A PERCENT OF MEAN ARE GIVEN BELOW.

   1/7  1/21
N FORK HOLSTON RIVER        SALTVILLE VA   165%  55%
MID FORK HOLSTON RVR  SEVEN MILE FORD VA   156%  64%

BASED ON EXISTING SOIL MOISTURE CONTENT...STREAMFLOWS...AND CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER OUTLOOKS...AN BELOW AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPPER
CLINCH AND UPPER HOLSTON RIVER BASINS.


...EXTENDED TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...

THE 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK ISSUED BY THE NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES
GREATER CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES OVER THE
REGION.

THE 30-DAY OUTLOOK INDICATES EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE/BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND PRECIPITATION.

THE 90-DAY OUTLOOK ISSUED BY THE NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES
EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE/BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITAION.

THE NEXT SPRINGFLOOD OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED TO BE RELEASED ON FEBRUARY 4 2015.

$$




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