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602
FGUS64 KFWR 161656
ESGFWD

LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
NWS WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER FORT WORTH TEXAS
1156 AM CDT THU OCT 16 2014

.B FWR 1016 Z DH12 /DC1410161656/DRD+3/DVD90/HGVFZX9/HGVFZX8/HGVFZX7
.B1 /HGVFZX6/HGVFZX5/HGVFZX4/HGVFZX3/HGVFZX2/HGVFZX1

:     Chance of Exceeding Stages at Specific Locations on BRAZ
:                 Valid 10/16/2014 - 1/15/2015
:
:          90%     80%     70%     60%     50%     40%     30%     20%     10%
:------------------------------------------------------------------------------
:
BGET2      0.9/    0.9/    0.9/    0.9/    2.0/    2.4/    2.9/    4.4/   12.1
SOUT2      4.9/    5.1/    6.0/    6.5/    7.5/    8.5/    9.7/   12.3/   21.9
PLOT2      1.6/    1.6/    1.6/    1.7/    1.9/    2.0/    2.4/    2.9/    5.8
DNNT2      1.5/    1.5/    1.5/    1.7/    1.8/    2.1/    3.3/    4.7/    6.4
GLRT2      4.8/    4.8/    4.8/    4.8/    4.9/    4.9/    5.0/    5.4/    9.3
GROT2      2.2/    2.3/    2.5/    2.6/    3.0/    3.3/    3.5/    4.2/    5.0
BUMT2      1.6/    1.6/    1.6/    1.7/    1.8/    1.9/    2.2/    3.1/    4.4
AQLT2      6.1/    6.1/    6.1/    6.1/    6.1/    6.1/    6.1/    7.7/    7.7
HICT2      5.1/    5.1/    5.1/    5.9/    6.3/    6.7/    7.3/    8.4/    9.7
CTNT2      1.2/    1.2/    1.3/    2.2/    2.5/    3.0/    3.6/    4.1/    4.7
VMAT2      4.9/    5.0/    5.2/    5.9/    6.3/    7.0/    7.6/    8.3/    8.7
CRFT2      1.3/    1.8/    2.3/    2.4/    2.6/    2.8/    3.0/    4.2/    6.6
MCGT2      3.2/    3.4/    3.5/    3.6/    3.8/    3.9/    4.6/    5.6/    7.9
WBAT2      1.7/    1.7/    1.7/    1.9/    2.2/    3.1/    3.7/    4.9/    6.9
HIBT2      2.1/    2.3/    2.8/    3.2/    4.0/    4.8/    5.5/    6.6/   13.2
DSBT2      2.4/    2.4/    3.2/    4.0/    5.2/    5.6/    7.8/   10.6/   16.8
DLLT2      1.9/    1.9/    1.9/    2.1/    2.3/    2.5/    2.8/    3.8/    5.0
HMLT2      5.6/    5.6/    5.6/    5.9/    6.6/    7.3/    7.9/    9.2/   10.4
GAST2      2.9/    2.9/    2.9/    3.4/    3.7/    4.3/    4.7/    5.5/    8.0
PICT2      3.2/    3.3/    4.1/    4.3/    4.9/    5.6/    5.9/    7.1/    9.6
BLET2      3.8/    3.8/    3.8/    3.8/    3.8/    3.8/    3.8/    3.8/    3.8
KEMT2      1.7/    2.0/    2.6/    3.2/    3.6/    3.9/    4.2/    4.8/    6.2
LRIT2      1.5/    1.5/    2.1/    2.6/    3.6/    4.0/    5.3/    7.1/   12.4
RLRT2      4.9/    6.5/    7.8/   10.4/   12.8/   14.0/   15.4/   18.9/   21.5
CMNT2      1.8/    3.3/    4.7/    7.0/    9.2/   10.8/   13.3/   19.4/   25.4
GRST2      1.9/    2.4/    2.7/    3.1/    3.5/    4.2/    6.2/    9.0/    9.8
EAST2      4.0/    5.5/    7.2/    9.8/   11.4/   18.8/   20.5/   21.5/   23.4
.END
:
:------------------------------------------------------------------------------
:
.B FWR 1016 Z DH12 /DC1410161656/DRD+3/DVD90/HPVFZX9/HPVFZX8/HPVFZX7
.B1 /HPVFZX6/HPVFZX5/HPVFZX4/HPVFZX3/HPVFZX2/HPVFZX1

:  Chance of Exceeding Elevations at Specific Locations on BRAZ
:                 Valid 10/16/2014 - 1/15/2015
:
:          90%     80%     70%     60%     50%     40%     30%     20%     10%
:------------------------------------------------------------------------------
:
HCRT2   1154.3/ 1154.3/ 1154.3/ 1154.3/ 1154.5/ 1154.6/ 1155.0/ 1155.6/ 1157.2
LMGT2   1060.9/ 1060.9/ 1061.0/ 1061.3/ 1061.7/ 1061.8/ 1062.6/ 1063.1/ 1063.6
LPPT2    849.2/  849.2/  849.2/  849.3/  849.9/  850.2/  850.7/  851.5/  852.3
LCLT2    727.9/  727.9/  727.9/  728.0/  728.1/  728.4/  728.5/  729.1/  731.2
LLET2   1367.8/ 1367.8/ 1367.8/ 1367.9/ 1368.2/ 1368.4/ 1368.7/ 1369.1/ 1370.4
.END


: Long-range probabilistic outlooks will be issued around the
: third Thursday of the month throughout the year.



$$




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