weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Drought Information Statement
NWS Homepage
This page is being discontinued on March 12, 2014.
The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.


Current Version
Previous Version:    01  02  
[Printable]
783
AXUS73 KLBF 202035
DGTLBF
NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-222359-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
335 PM CDT THU MAR 20 2014

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE EXPANDED OVER THE PAST MONTH INTO
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

.SYNOPSIS...

THE WEATHER PATTERN FROM LATE FEBRUARY INTO MID MARCH WAS VERY
SIMILAR TO THE SAME PATTERN THAT HAS BEEN IN PLACE ACROSS THE PLAINS
FOR MOST OF THE WINTER. THE PATTERN IS CHARACTERIZED BY A DEEP LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE HUDSON BAY REGION OF CANADA AND HIGH PRESSURE
ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE UNITED STATES. THIS PLACED THE
PLAINS WITHIN THE STORM TRACK THAT RESIDES BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS.
THEREFORE THERE HAVE BEEN SEVERAL SYSTEMS THAT HAVE PASSED THROUGH
THE AREA VERY QUICKLY AND HAVE PRODUCED AREAS OF MAINLY LIGHT
SNOWFALL AND MUCH COLDER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. THE MOST INTENSE
SYSTEM MOVED ACROSS NEBRASKA ON THE 17TH OF MARCH AND PRODUCED
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW OVER A NARROW BAND ACROSS THE STATE. FOR THE
MOST PART HOWEVER...THE STORM SYSTEMS HAVE PRODUCED LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF PRECIPITATION. ON OCCASION THE PLAINS HAVE HAD A FEW DAYS OF
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AS WELL...AS THE STORM TRACK SHIFTS
FURTHER NORTH. THE END RESULT IS A WIDE FLUCTUATION OF TEMPERATURES
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA DURING THE LAST PART OF
FEBRUARY INTO THE MIDDLE OF MARCH.


.LOCAL AREAS AFFECTED...

AS OF MARCH 20TH...ACCORDING TO THE LATEST US DROUGHT
MONITOR...SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING
ROUGHLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ERICSON...TO 10 MILES NORTH OF
THEDFORD...TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF ANTIOCH. NORTH OF THIS LINE...TO THE
NIOBRARA RIVER FROM VALENTINE TO LYNCH...ABNORMALLY DRY TO MODERATE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING. NORTH OF THE NIOBRARA RIVER FROM
VALENTINE TO LYNCH...NO DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE SEEN. ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN LINCOLN...SOUTHEASTERN PERKINS...EASTERN
CHASE...NORTHERN HAYES AND WESTERN FRONTIER COUNTY...EXTREME DROUGHT
CONDITIONS CONTINUED.


.CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SUMMARY OF RECENT MONTHLY RAINFALL CONDITIONS FROM SELECTED STATIONS
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE SUMMARY INCLUDES THE
PREVIOUS 12 MONTH PRECIPITATION TOTALS...MARCH 2013 TO FEBRUARY
2014...THE PREVIOUS 6 MONTH PRECIPITATION TOTALS...SEPTEMBER 2013 TO
FEBRUARY 2014...THE PREVIOUS 3 MONTH PRECIPITATION TOTALS...DECEMBER
2013 TO FEBRUARY 2014...AND THE PRECIPITATION TOTALS SO FAR IN
MARCH...THROUGH MARCH 19.

              12 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES       6 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       MAR-FEB  NORMAL   DEP   |  SEP-FEB  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE    21.54   20.23  +1.31   |    8.46    4.85   +3.61
VALENTINE       23.06   20.02  +3.04   |    6.65    4.65   +2.00
BROKEN BOW *    25.01   23.62  +1.39   |    6.49    6.55   -0.06
IMPERIAL   *    13.54   19.14  -5.60   |    4.46    4.48   -0.02

               3 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES     THRU MAR 19 PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       DEC-FEB  NORMAL   DEP   |   MAR 19  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE     1.21    1.25  -0.04   |    0.24    0.57   -0.33
VALENTINE        1.37    1.11  +0.26   |    0.33    0.57   -0.24
BROKEN BOW *     0.46    1.51  -1.05   |    0.14    0.58   -0.44
IMPERIAL   *     0.93    1.08  -0.15   |    0.13    0.56   -0.43

PRIMARY LOCATION OF PRECIPITATION DATA IS FROM THE AUTOMATED
SENSORS AT THE AIRPORT.
*  PRECIPITATION DATA INCLUDES A COMBINATION OF AUTOMATED SENSORS
   AND COOPERATIVE DATA.

AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE LAST 3 MONTHS SAW A RANGE FROM ABOVE
NORMAL TO WELL BELOW NORMAL.

                           AVERAGE TEMPERATURE/DEGREE F

LOCATION      DEC  NORMAL  DEP | JAN  NORMAL  DEP | FEB  NORMAL  DEP
NORTH PLATTE  23.8  25.4  -1.6 | 26.2  25.0  +1.2 | 20.3  29.0  -8.7
VALENTINE     18.5  23.8  -5.3 | 25.8  23.6  +2.2 | 19.2  27.2  -8.0
BROKEN BOW    23.1  25.5  -2.4 | 24.7  25.5  -0.8 | 20.7  28.0  -7.3
IMPERIAL      27.3  28.4  -1.1 | 29.5  28.3  +1.2 | 21.8  31.5  -9.7


.RIVER AND RESERVOIR CONDITIONS...

RIVERS ACROSS MOST OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ARE RUNNING
AT NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FLOWS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE EXCEPTION
IS RIVERS AND STREAMS IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...PRIMARILY IN THE
REPUBLICAN RIVER BASIN WHERE READINGS BETWEEN 10 AND 50 PERCENT OF
NORMAL WERE OBSERVED.

GROUNDWATER LEVELS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA HAVE IMPROVED TO NORMAL
LEVELS. HOWEVER...IN PARTS OF SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...MAINLY ACROSS
CHASE...SOUTHERN KEITH...PERKINS...AND WESTERN HAYES
COUNTIES...GROUND WATER LEVELS REMAIN BELOW 25 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

THE ELEVATION AT LAKE MCCONAUGHY HAS RISEN BY ALMOST 2.5 FEET OVER
THE PAST MONTH AND IS NOW ALMOST 60 PERCENT OF CAPACITY. THIS
COMPARES TO 64 PERCENT AS MEASURED ONE YEAR AGO. UPSTREAM IN THE
NORTH PLATTE RIVER SYSTEM...RESERVOIR OPERATIONS ACROSS WYOMING ARE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WHILE RESERVOIR STORAGE REMAINS BELOW
NORMAL...NEAR 73 PERCENT OF THE 30 YEAR AVERAGE. MOUNTAIN SNOWPACK
IS ABOVE NORMAL LEADING TO THE SNOWMELT RUNOFF FORECAST TO BE ABOUT
11 PERCENT ABOVE NORMAL.


.FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

WITH SOIL TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...NO
GREENUP HAS OCCURRED AS OF THE THIRD WEEK OF MARCH. FIRE MANAGEMENT
CONTINUES TO REPORT THAT AREA 1 HOUR FUELS ARE CURED AND ABLE TO
BURN QUICKLY. HIGHER SUN ANGLES AND WARMER TEMPERATURES OVER THE
PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS HAVE DRIED OUT 1 HOUR FUELS FURTHER TO THE
POINT WHERE THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH HAS INCREASED
SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE THE BEGINNING OF MARCH.

BOTTOM LINE...UNTIL GREENUP CAN COMMENCE ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA...EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH WILL REMAIN A STRONG THREAT
DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF DRY FUELS...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT THE NORTH PLATTE NWS FIRE WEATHER
WEB SITE PROVIDED BELOW...OR CONTACT THE NORTH PLATTE FIRE WEATHER
FOCAL POINT /SHAWN JACOBS/ DIRECTLY.

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/LBF/FORECASTS/FIREWX/FIREWX.PHP


.PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...THE LATEST 30 DAY
OUTLOOK FOR APRIL...CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ROUGHLY
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 2 FROM ANTIOCH TO ANSLEY. SOUTH OF THIS LINE THERE
ARE EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE
PRECIPITATION FORECAST FOR APRIL CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE LATEST 90 DAY
OUTLOOK...COVERING APRIL...MAY AND JUNE CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.

THE LATEST 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK COVERING MARCH 26TH THROUGH MARCH
30TH FORECASTS NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION. THE LATEST 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK COVERING MARCH 28TH
THROUGH APRIL 3RD FORECASTS NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS INFORMATION
PLEASE CONTACT:

CHRIS BUTTLER
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH PLATTE NE
CHRISTOPHER.BUTTLER@NOAA.GOV


.RELATED WEB SITES...

LOCAL WEATHER...CLIMATE AND WATER INFORMATION
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/LBF

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND RESERVOIR INFORMATION
USGS - HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
CNPPID - HTTP://CNPPID.COM/LAKE_LEVELS.HTM

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV


.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...USGS...AND THE CENTRAL NEBRASKA PUBLIC POWER
AND IRRIGATION DISTRICT.


.NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ROUTINELY ISSUED ON THE THIRD THURSDAY OF
THE MONTH UNLESS DROUGHT CONDITIONS RELAX OR INTENSIFY. THE NEXT
ROUTINE ISSUANCE WILL BE APRIL 17 2014...BUT MAY BE SOONER IF
CONDITIONS CHANGE.

$$

CLB/SJ/JB/JWS/MM

























U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE