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472
FXXX01 KWNP 192200
DAYDSF

:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2014 Dec 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#            Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
#
:Solar_Analysis:
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to
19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M6 event observed at
18/2158Z from Region 2241 (S09E04). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
#
:Solar_Forecast:
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (20 Dec, 21
Dec, 22 Dec).

#
:Geophysical_Activity:
Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
422 km/s at 19/0130Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 19/1224Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 19/0406Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 587 pfu.
#
:Geophysical_Forecast:
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and three (20 Dec, 22
Dec) and quiet to major storm levels on day two (21 Dec). Protons have a
slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (20 Dec,
21 Dec, 22 Dec).




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