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419
CXUS53 KMQT 080347 AAA
CLMMQT

CLIMATE REPORT...PRELIMINARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1050 PM EST FRI NOV 7 2014

...................................

...THE MARQUETTE MI CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER 2014...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1961 TO 2014

WEATHER         OBSERVED          NORMAL  DEPART  LAST YEAR`S
                 VALUE   DATE(S)  VALUE   FROM    VALUE  DATE(S)
                                          NORMAL
................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
RECORD
 HIGH              87   10/02/1992
 LOW                9   10/23/1969
HIGHEST            63   10/24        51      12       76  10/01
LOWEST             23   10/22        34     -11       18  10/29
AVG. MAXIMUM     48.3              52.1    -3.8     51.9
AVG. MINIMUM     35.6              34.2     1.4     36.5
MEAN             41.9              43.2    -1.3     44.2
DAYS MAX >= 90      0               0.0     0.0        0
DAYS MAX <= 32      1               0.7     0.3        0
DAYS MIN <= 32     10              13.4    -3.4       15
DAYS MIN <= 0       0               0.0     0.0        0

PRECIPITATION (INCHES)
RECORD
 MAXIMUM         7.59   1979
 MINIMUM         0.94   1975
TOTALS           6.49              3.84    2.65     4.38
DAILY AVG.       0.21              0.12    0.09     0.14
DAYS >= .01        23              15.2     7.8       19
DAYS >= .10        13               8.3     4.7       11
DAYS >= .50         5               2.2     2.8        3
DAYS >= 1.00        1               0.9     0.1        1
GREATEST
 24 HR. TOTAL    1.52   10/17 TO 10/18

SNOWFALL (INCHES)
RECORDS
 TOTAL           18.6   1979
TOTALS            3.2               6.0    -2.8      3.5
SINCE 7/1         3.2               6.1    -2.9      3.5
SNOWDEPTH AVG.      0                MM      MM        0
DAYS >= 1.0         2               1.7     0.3        1
GREATEST
 SNOW DEPTH         1   10/31                          1  10/23
                                                          10/22
 24 HR TOTAL      3.2   10/30 TO 10/31

DEGREE_DAYS
HEATING TOTAL     705               679      26      636
 SINCE 7/1       1232              1161      71     1101
COOLING TOTAL       0                 1      -1        0
 SINCE 1/1        152               242     -90      280
.................................................................

WIND (MPH)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED              MM
HIGHEST WIND SPEED/DIRECTION    MM        DATE   MM
HIGHEST GUST SPEED/DIRECTION    41/315    DATE  10/25

SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE (PERCENT)   MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER             MM
NUMBER OF DAYS FAIR          MM
NUMBER OF DAYS PC            MM
NUMBER OF DAYS CLOUDY        MM

AVERAGE RH (PERCENT)     MM

WEATHER CONDITIONS. NUMBER OF DAYS WITH
THUNDERSTORM              0     MIXED PRECIP               0
HEAVY RAIN                0     RAIN                       3
LIGHT RAIN               24     FREEZING RAIN              0
LT FREEZING RAIN          0     HAIL                       1
HEAVY SNOW                0     SNOW                       0
LIGHT SNOW                6     SLEET                      0
FOG                      12     FOG W/VIS <= 1/4 MILE      5
HAZE                      0

-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.

&&

...OCTOBER 2014 MONTHLY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR UPPER MICHIGAN...
/THIS DISCUSSION DOES NOT INCLUDE CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES/

...VERY WET ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL AND EAST...
...RECORD WETTEST OCTOBER AT MANISTIQUE...
...SECOND WETTEST OCTOBER AT NEWBERRY...
...FIFTH WETTEST OCTOBER AT MARQUETTE CITY AND MUNISING...

...MEAN MONTHLY TEMPERATURE NEAR NORMAL TO A BIT BELOW NORMAL...

OCTOBER CLIMATE STATISTICS FOR THE MARQUETTE NWS IN NEGAUNEE
 TOWNSHIP

                                    NORMAL   DEPARTURE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURE         41.9     43.2  MINUS    1.3
AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURE    48.3     52.1  MINUS    3.8
AVERAGE LOW TEMPERATURE     35.6     34.2   PLUS    1.4
HEATING DEGREE DAYS          705      679   PLUS     26
COOLING DEGREE DAYS            0        1  MINUS      1
TOTAL PRECIPITATION         6.49     3.84   PLUS   2.65
TOTAL SNOWFALL               3.2      6.0  MINUS    2.8

HIGHEST TEMPERATURE:                    63 ON 10/24
LOWEST TEMPERATURE:                     23 ON 10/22
GREATEST CALENDAR DAY PRECIPITATION:  1.36 ON 10/17
GREATEST 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION:       1.52 ON 10/17-10/18
GREATEST CALENDAR DAY SNOWFALL:        2.2 ON 10/31
GREATEST 24 HOUR SNOWFALL:             3.2 ON 10/30-10/31
PEAK WIND SPEED: 41 MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON 10/25

DAILY RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ON 10/5...39 /OLD RECORD
                                                   40...1964/
---------------------------------------------------------------------
GREAT LAKES WATER LEVELS (FEET/METERS ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL)

                            LAKE SUPERIOR  LAKE MICHIGAN-HURON
10/01/14 DAILY MEAN         602.65/183.69     579.12/176.52
10/31/14 DAILY MEAN         602.74/183.72     579.19/176.54
AVG SEP 2014 DAILY MEAN     602.68/183.70     579.11/176.51
AVG OCT 2013 DAILY MEAN     601.86/183.45     577.46/176.01
LONG TERM OCT DAILY MEAN    602.03/183.50     578.84/176.43
MAXIMUM OCT DAILY MEAN      603.38/183.91     582.35/177.50
                                (1985)           (1986)
MINIMUM OCT DAILY MEAN      600.72/183.10     576.44/175.70
                                (1925)           (1964)

...GREAT LAKES WATER LEVELS CONTINUE SLOW RISE IN OCTOBER...
...LAKES MICHIGAN AND HURON ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE
LATE 1998...

EVEN THOUGH WATER LEVELS TYPICALLY FALL SLOWLY IN OCTOBER...ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND SURROUNDING
AREAS THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHS THAT HAS CONTRIBUTED TO GREATER
RUNOFF AS WELL AS RELATIVELY CHILLY LAKE WATER TEMPERATURES THAT
HAVE LIMITED EVAPORATION CONTRIBUTED TO A SLOW RISE IN THE LEVELS OF
LAKES SUPERIOR...MICHIGAN AND HURON IN OCTOBER 2014. AT THE END OF
THE MONTH...THE LAKE SUPERIOR WATER LEVEL WAS 10 TO 11 INCHES HIGHER
THAN IN OCTOBER 2013 AND 8 TO 9 INCHES ABOVE THE LONG TERM NORMAL.
THE LEVEL OF LAKES MICHIGAN-HURON ON 10/31 WAS ALMOST 21 INCHES
HIGHER THAN LAST OCTOBER AND ABOUT 4 INCHES ABOVE THE NORMAL OCTOBER
LEVEL. OCTOBER IS THE FIRST MONTH SINCE DECEMBER 1998 THAT THE WATER
LEVEL ON LAKES MICHIGAN-HURON WAS AT LEAST NORMAL.

OBTAIN GREAT LAKES WATER LEVEL DATA AS REPORTED BY THE U.S. ARMY
CORPS OF ENGINEERS AT

HTTP://WWW.LRE.USACE.ARMY.MIL/MISSIONS/GREATLAKESINFORMATION/
       GREATLAKESWATERLEVELS/CURRENTCONDITIONS.ASPX (ALL LOWER CASE).
---------------------------------------------------------------------
                       OCTOBER CLIMATE HIGHLIGHTS

MORE TO COME LATER.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
SOME OTHER TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OBSERVATIONS ACROSS UPPER
MICHIGAN IN OCTOBER 2014 INCLUDE:

IRONWOOD...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 43.4 (NORMAL)
           PRECIPITATION 4.14 INCHES (0.16 INCH ABOVE NORMAL)
           SNOWFALL 4.0 INCHES (2.6 INCHES BELOW NORMAL)

WATERSMEET (GOGEBIC COUNTY)...PRECIPITATION 3.51 INCHES
                              SNOWFALL 4.0 INCHES

ONTONAGON...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 46.3 (0.5 DEGREE BELOW NORMAL)
 (6 MILES   PRECIPITATION 4.89 INCHES (1.39 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL)
  INLAND)   SNOWFALL TRACE (2.5 INCHES BELOW NORMAL)

HOUGHTON COUNTY...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 43.5 (0.1 DEGREE ABOVE NORMAL)
 AIRPORT          PRECIPITATION 3.85 INCHES (0.86 INCH ABOVE NORMAL)
                  SNOWFALL 1.8 INCHES (2.9 INCHES BELOW NORMAL)

ATLANTIC MINE (HOUGHTON COUNTY)...PRECIPITATION 5.02 INCHES
                                  SNOWFALL 2.0 INCHES

MOHAWK (KEWEENAW COUNTY)...PRECIPITATION 4.83 INCHES
                           SNOWFALL 2.0 INCHES

JACOBSVILLE (HOUGHTON COUNTY)...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 43.0 DEGREES
                                PRECIPITATION 3.70 INCHES
                                SNOWFALL 0.9 INCH

WATTON (BARAGA COUNTY)...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 42.5 DEGREES
                         PRECIPITATION 3.51 INCHES
                         SNOWFALL 2.7 INCHES

HERMAN (BARAGA COUNTY)...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 40.3 DEGREES
                         PRECIPITATION 6.11 INCHES
                         SNOWFALL 4.9 INCHES

MARQUETTE CITY...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 45.8 (1.5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL)
                 PRECIPITATION 5.81 INCHES (2.68 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL)
                 SNOWFALL TRACE (1.0 INCH BELOW NORMAL)

MUNISING...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 43.9 (1.7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL)
           PRECIPITATION 7.07 INCHES (2.84 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL)
           SNOWFALL

NEWBERRY...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 44.1 (1.2 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL)
           PRECIPITATION 7.07 INCHES (3.50 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL)
           SNOWFALL TRACE (1.2 INCHES BELOW NORMAL)

STAMBAUGH (IRON COUNTY)...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 41.9 DEGREES
                          PRECIPITATION 3.99 INCHES
                          SNOWFALL TRACE

AMASA (IRON COUNTY)...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 42.8 DEGREES
                      PRECIPITATION 3.63 INCHES
                      SNOWFALL 1.0 INCHES

NORWAY (DICKINSON COUNTY)...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 44.7 DEGREES
                            PRECIPITATION 4.52 INCHES
                            SNOWFALL TRACE

GLADSTONE (DELTA COUNTY)...PRECIPITATION 4.42 INCHES
                           SNOWFALL TRACE

GARDEN CORNERS (DELTA COUNTY)...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 45.3 DEGREES
                                PRECIPITATION 5.57 INCHES
                                SNOWFALL 1.1 INCHES

MANISTIQUE...AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 45.6 (0.1 DEGREE ABOVE NORMAL)
             PRECIPITATION 6.50 INCHES (3.02 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL)
             SNOWFALL

                       OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY

MORE TO COME LATER.

                          NOVEMBER FORECAST

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) IS FORECASTING A GREATER THAN
CLIMATOLOGICAL CHANCE OF AN ABOVE NORMAL MONTHLY MEAN TEMPERATURE
BUT EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE AND BELOW NORMAL MONTHLY PRECIPITATION
OVER ALL OF UPPER MICHIGAN IN NOVEMBER 2014.

                         NOVEMBER CLIMATOLOGY

RESIDENTS OF UPPER MICHIGAN FEEL WINTER`S TIGHTENING GRIP MORE AND
MORE OFTEN DURING NOVEMBER AS THE SUN`S WARMING RAYS BECOME
INCREASINGLY FEEBLE. POSSIBLE SUNSHINE DECLINES FROM 605 MINUTES ON
11/1 TO 533 MINUTES ON 11/30. AS A RESULT...THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE
DURING NOVEMBER IS AS MUCH AS 15 DEGREES LOWER THAN IN OCTOBER.

DESPITE THE INEVITABLE DECLINE TOWARD WINTER...PLEASANTLY MILD
WEATHER OFTEN MAKES AN APPEARANCE DURING THE ELEVENTH MONTH.
NOVEMBER 2001 GOES DOWN IN THE RECORD BOOKS AS THE WARMEST EVER AT
ALL REPORTING STATIONS WITH A MEAN TEMPERATURE 10 OR MORE DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. MANY STATIONS REPORTED MORE DAYS WITH A HIGH
TEMPERATURE OVER 50 THAN IN ANY OTHER ELEVENTH MONTH...18 DAYS AT
IRONWOOD AND IRON MOUNTAIN AND 13 DAYS AT THE MARQUETTE NWS. AT THE
MARQUETTE NWS...13 DAILY RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM OR MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
RECORDS WERE EITHER BROKEN OR TIED. NOVEMBER 2009 FEATURED
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER AND A MEAN MONTHLY TEMPERATURE 6 TO 9
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE...ENOUGH TO QUALIFY THE MONTH AS THE WARMEST
NOVEMBER ON RECORD AT HOUGHTON AND ONE OF THE TOP THREE WARMEST
THROUGHOUT UPPER MICHIGAN. NOVEMBER 1999 IS ALSO AMONG THE TOP FIVE
WARMEST ON RECORD AT MANY PLACES. BETWEEN 11/8/99 AND 11/10/99...
HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF UPPER MICHIGAN REACHED NEAR OR ABOVE
70. RESIDENTS OF IRON MOUNTAIN ENJOYED A MONTHLY-RECORD-TYING
75-DEGREE AFTERNOON ON 11/9/99. THE 73-DEGREE READING AT THE
MARQUETTE NWS ON 11/9/99 IS THE HIGHEST NOVEMBER TEMPERATURE EVER
RECORDED AT THAT STATION. IRONWOOD REACHED 72 ON THAT DAY...ONLY TWO
DEGREES SHY OF THE MONTHLY RECORD 74. OTHER WARM SPELLS OCCURRED IN
EARLY NOVEMBER 1990...1978 AND 1975. THE RECORD WARMTH THAT
ENVELOPED UPPER MICHIGAN DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF NOVEMBER 1975 AND
SPREAD TO THE EAST COAST DURING THE SECOND WEEK CONTRIBUTED TO THE
INTENSITY OF THE STORM THAT ROARED OVER LAKE SUPERIOR ON 11/10/75
AND SANK THE EDMUND FITZGERALD.

BUT NOVEMBER CAN ALSO FEATURE ALMOST MID WINTER CHILL. NOVEMBER
1995...1976...AND 1959 ARE AMONG THE TOP THREE COLDEST NOVEMBERS AT
MOST LOCATIONS. TEMPERATURES AVERAGED AS MUCH AS 5 TO 8 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL DURING THESE MONTHS...WITH READINGS MORE TYPICAL OF
DECEMBER. ONE OF THE COLDEST AIRMASSES EVER TO INVADE UPPER MICHIGAN
DURING NOVEMBER IMPACTED THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES BETWEEN 11/28/76
AND 11/30/76. THE LOWEST NOVEMBER TEMPERATURE EVER OBSERVED AT
IRONWOOD (-18)...THE MARQUETTE NWS (-13)...IRON MOUNTAIN (-10)...
NEWBERRY (-10) AND MANISTIQUE (-6) OCCURRED ON ONE OF THOSE THREE
DAYS.

SIGNIFICANT SNOW...ESPECIALLY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...BECOMES A GREATER
THREAT DURING NOVEMBER. AS MORE FREQUENT COLD AIR INVASIONS PASS
OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF LAKE SUPERIOR...THE AIRMASS
BECOMES INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE. THE RESULT IS A GREATER FREQUENCY OF
SNOW SHOWERS...WHICH ARE TYPICALLY HEAVIER AND MORE WIDESPREAD OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN JUST DOWNWIND OF LAKE SUPERIOR. THE AGGREGATE WARMTH
OF ALL THE GREAT LAKES ALSO INFLUENCES THE INTENSITY AND PATH OF
LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS APPROACHING THE AREA. IN MOST CASES...
SURFACE LOWS INTENSIFY MORE QUICKLY AND TAKE A PATH FARTHER WEST
THAN THEY WOULD IF THE LAKES WERE ABSENT. THIS DEVIATION IN STORM
PATH IN GENERAL FAVORS HEAVIER SNOW ACROSS WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN
THAN IN THE EAST. HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS ACROSS THE WEST THAT ALSO ARE
FAVORED FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW THUS HAVE THE HIGHEST NORMAL NOVEMBER
SNOWFALL...AND LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION. IRONWOOD WAS
SMOTHERED UNDER 78 INCHES OF THE WHITE STUFF IN NOVEMBER 1989. ON
THE OTHER HAND...RECORD LOW SNOW FELL IN NOVEMBER 2009. DURING THAT
MONTH...THE COMBINATION OF UNSEASONABLE WARMTH THAT SHUT OFF THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW MACHINE AND A DRY FLOW THAT PREVENTED LARGER SCALE
STORM SYSTEMS AND PRECIPITATION FROM MOVING INTO THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES RESULTED IN RECORD LOW SNOWFALL UNDER 1 TO 6 INCHES AT MOST
LOCATIONS. ONLY A TRACE OF SNOW FELL AT MUNISING IN NOVEMBER 2009.
AVERAGE NOVEMBER SNOW RANGES FROM NEARLY 24 INCHES AT HOUGHTON AND
IRONWOOD TO AROUND 6 INCHES OR LESS FROM IRON MOUNTAIN TO
MANISTIQUE.

DESTABILIZATION OF COLD AIR MASSES OVER LAKE SUPERIOR AND RAPIDLY
INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOWS HELP MAKE NOVEMBER ONE OF THE WINDIEST
MONTHS OF THE YEAR...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. THERE IS TRUTH
IN THE PHRASE...GALES OF NOVEMBER.

                           OUTLOOK FOR WINTER

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) IS FORECASTING A GREATER THAN
CLIMATOLOGICAL CHANCE OF AN ABOVE NORMAL 3-MONTH AVERAGE TEMPERATURE
AND BELOW NORMAL 3-MONTH PRECIPITATION OVER ALL OF UPPER MICHIGAN IN
DECEMBER 2014 THROUGH FEBRUARY 2015.

GO TO HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CLIMATE/L3MTO.PHP TO ACCESS DETAILED
LOCAL THREE-MONTH AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS FOR A NUMBER OF SITES
IN UPPER MICHIGAN.

CHECK OUT HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER AND MORE LONG RANGE PREDICTIONS.

NOTE THAT STATISTICS FOR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
NEGAUNEE TOWNSHIP ARE BASED ON RECORDS WHICH BEGAN IN OCTOBER 1961.
THIRTY YEAR NORMALS USED ARE FOR THE PERIOD OF 1981 THROUGH 2010.
NOTE ALL TEMPERATURES ARE IN FAHRENHEIT AND PRECIPITATION IS IN
INCHES. ALL CLIMATE DATA LISTED IN THIS PRODUCT ARE UNOFFICIAL. FOR
OFFICIAL DATA...PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER.
ALSO NOTE THIS DISCUSSION DOES NOT INCLUDE DATA FROM CHIPPEWA AND
MACKINAC COUNTIES.

NWS MARQUETTE WEB PAGE IS AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MQT (ALL LOWER
CASE). CONTACT THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER AT (828) 271-4800
OR WWW.NCDC.NOAA.GOV.

$$

KC






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