386
WHXX01 KMIA 191243
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1243 UTC SUN MAY 19 2013

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130519 1200 UTC

        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130519  1200   130520  0000   130520  1200   130521  0000

         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.1N 119.6W   12.7N 121.9W   13.0N 123.8W   13.0N 125.4W
BAMD    12.1N 119.6W   13.1N 120.5W   14.0N 121.2W   14.5N 121.8W
BAMM    12.1N 119.6W   12.7N 121.2W   13.3N 122.5W   13.6N 123.7W
LBAR    12.1N 119.6W   12.8N 120.9W   13.9N 122.3W   15.1N 123.6W
SHIP        30KTS          27KTS          22KTS          17KTS
DSHP        30KTS          27KTS          22KTS          17KTS

        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130521  1200   130522  1200   130523  1200   130524  1200

         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.7N 127.0W   12.4N 129.6W   13.1N 131.9W   14.2N 134.4W
BAMD    14.6N 122.3W   14.9N 123.6W   15.1N 124.7W   15.5N 125.7W
BAMM    13.8N 124.9W   14.2N 127.6W   14.9N 130.1W   15.8N 132.6W
LBAR    16.4N 124.9W   18.6N 126.2W   20.9N 125.3W   23.1N 121.1W
SHIP        15KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        15KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS

         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.1N LONCUR = 119.6W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  12.1N LONM12 = 118.1W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  12.0N LONM24 = 116.3W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM

$$
NNNN