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777
FXUS62 KTBW 211331
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
931 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.SHORT TERM (TODAY)...
THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF SHIFTS
EAST INTO FL TODAY...LIFTING A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH CURRENTLY IN
SOUTH FL NORTHWARD. THE TROUGH REACHES A LINE ROUGHLY FROM SARASOTA
TO LAKE WALES, ONGOING SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS SOUTH OF THE
TROUGH SPREADS NORTHWARD TODAY...INTO PARTS OF SARASOTA-MANATEE-
HARDEE-POLK COUNTIES. POPS AND WEATHER LOOK GOOD FOR TODAY
HOWEVER HAVE ADJUSTED CLOUD COVER NORTHWARD. LITTLE IMPACT TO THE
TEXT FORECASTS BUT ENOUGH TO SHOW MINOR CHANGES IN THE POINT AND
CLICK. UPDATES OUT AROUND 915 AM OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION...
21/12Z-22/12Z. MAINLY VFR WITH BKN MID-HIGH CLOUDS ALTHOUGH PGD/FMY/RSW
COULD SEE VCNTY SHRA OR TSRA THROUGH 21Z. VARIABLE WINDS SHIFT
THROUGH THE SOUTH TO SW FOR THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CREATE AN EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS FLORIDA.
THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTH OF FLORIDA LATE FRIDAY AND THEN
OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN LEADING TO A NORTHERLY WIND FLOW. A
STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS MAY RESULT IN PERIODS OF
EXERCISE CAUTION AND POSSIBLY ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...09/RUDE
MARINE...03/PAXTON
DECISION SUPPORT...24/HUBBARD







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