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921
FXUS64 KSJT 012335
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
635 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions to persist over the next 24 hours. Some
mid-level scattered to broken ceilings will be possible through
sunrise, but should clear out during the morning. Winds look to
remain relatively light.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Saturday)

Weak northwest flow aloft will continue across the Southern Plains
into Saturday with high pressure aloft centered south and west of
the area. The cold front that moved through the area yesterday will
remain stationary across deep south Texas and northern Mexico
through Saturday. We`ll see light east to northeast winds continue
across the area the next 24 hours, resulting in a continuation of
below normal temperatures. Low temperatures tonight will generally
be in the mid and upper 60s, with highs on Saturday around 90
degrees areawide.

Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected to develop along and
north of the stalled front tonight and early Saturday. Most of this
activity will remain south and west of the area but a few showers
and isolated thunderstorms may creep into Crockett county after
midnight into Saturday morning. Will keep slight POPs going across
this into Saturday.

LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Friday)

A steady warm up is forecast through next week. An upper level ridge
will expand and dominate the weather for West Central Texas from
Sunday through much of next week. Highs Sunday and Monday will be in
the upper 80s to lower 90s, while overnight lows drop into the mid
to upper 60s. Slightly warmer temperatures are forecast from the
middle to latter part of the work week, with highs back into the mid
to upper 90s, with overnight lows in the lower 70s. The influence of
the upper level ridge should keep rain chances near zero. Models are
less aggressive in a possible cold front moving into West Central
Texas late next week. The upper level trough across the Northern
Plains is forecast to be weaker than originally anticipated, keeping
the cold front to the north of the area. For now, PoPs were left out
of the forecast on days 6 and 7, as the upper level ridge continues
to dominate.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  65  90  67  90  68 /   5   5   5   0   0
San Angelo  66  92  65  93  68 /  10  10   5   5   5
Junction  68  92  66  93  68 /  10  10   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NONE.

&&

$$

Reimer







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