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766 FXUS64 KSJT 291125 AFDSJT AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 524 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015 .AVIATION... /12Z TAFS/ A cold front will move south across West Central Texas this morning, exiting the southern terminals by 17Z. Expect northeast winds with gusts to 25 knots behind the front late this morning and afternoon. The winds will begin to decrease tonight. Expect VFR conditions during the next 24 hours. However, mid level clouds will develop across the area by early this evening. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2015/ SHORT TERM... (Today and Tonight) A cold front will move south across West Central Texas today. Expect northeast winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph and cooler temperatures behind the front. Highs will range from the lower 60s across the Big Country to the upper 60s to around 70 along the I-10 corridor. Also, increasing clouds as mid an upper level Pacific moisture is transported northeast. For tonight, expect mostly cloudy skies as Pacific moisture continues to increase along with some weak isentropic lift. Light rain may move into far western areas by Friday morning. However, will keep the forecast dry for the next 24 hours as confidence is not high. 21 LONG TERM... (Tomorrow through Wednesday) By early Friday an upper Pacific trough that stretches south along the Baja Peninsula will have developed a closed low over the northern Baja. The forecast area will be coming under a southwest flow aloft as an upper shortwave ridge over the southern plains builds to the east ahead of the approaching Pacific trough. Abundant cloud cover along with periodic disturbances embedded in the southwest flow aloft will move over the forecast area during the day on Friday with rain chances increasing from west to east. The closed low over the northern Baja will begin to separate from its parent upper trough and trek southward down the Baja Peninsula through the coming weekend. The upper trough will continue to move to the east bringing an increasing chance of rainfall to the forecast area through the weekend. The best chance of rain will be Friday night through Saturday night with precipitation chances ending from west to east on Sunday. By Sunday evening the upper trough will be east of the forecast area with any associated rainfall also east of the area. Highs through the weekend will be in the upper 40s to the lower 50s with morning lows in the upper 30s to the lower 40s. A weak cold front will push colder dryer air into the area on Sunday with Monday morning lows dropping into the upper 20s across the entire forecast area. Dry conditions will persist through mid- week with afternoon highs in the upper 40s on Monday warming into the mid 50s to the lower 60s by Wednesday. Morning lows on Tuesday will be in the lower 30s with Wednesday morning lows in the upper 30s to around 40. 15 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 62 36 49 40 48 / 0 5 20 60 80 San Angelo 67 38 52 41 52 / 0 5 20 60 80 Junction 72 42 55 42 55 / 0 5 10 60 70 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ 21