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413
FXUS64 KOUN 310348
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1048 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

.AVIATION...
LIGHT NORTH WIND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES.
NORTH WINDS WILL GUST THROUGHOUT CENTRAL OKLAHOMA SATURDAY MORNING
AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. WINDS WILL DECREASE
QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 909 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW. THIS WILL BRING SOMEWHAT COOLER...AND MUCH
DRIER...AIR INTO THE REGION...SETTING UP A VERY COOL NIGHT
TOMORROW NIGHT.

THE CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AT THIS TIME. NO CHANGES ARE
PLANNED FOR THIS EVENING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 709 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2014/

AVIATION...
LIGHT NORTH WIND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES.
NORTH WINDS WILL GUST THROUGHOUT CENTRAL OKLAHOMA SATURDAY MORNING
AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A COOL DOWN IS ON THE WAY! A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MAKE HASTE
SOUTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON..RESULTING IN BREEZY NORTH WINDS ALONG
AND NORTH OF I-44. A DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE
FRONT...BUT THE REAL COLD AIR WILL TAKE A BIT MORE TIME TO
ARRIVE...SLIDING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT...AS A POTENT SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN CONUS.

AS COLD AIR SETTLES INTO OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS...AND WINDS
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...THE
STAGE APPEARS TO BE SET FOR A WIDESPREAD FROST/FREEZE EVENT.
RECENT GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST FREEZING OR NEAR FREEZING
TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE REGION...THOUGH
UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN IN TERMS OF HOW FAR SOUTH THE MORE WIDESPREAD
FREEZING CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. IN KEEPING WITH SLIGHTLY
COLDER GUIDANCE...WILL EXPAND THE FREEZE WATCH SOUTH AND
WEST...AND ADD A FEW MORE COUNTIES TO THE GOING FREEZE WARNING.
THE REAL IMPACT HERE WILL BE TO SENSITIVE PLANTS...SO GET THOSE IN
BEFORE YOU HIT THE HAY FRIDAY NIGHT.

COOL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY AS COLD
AIR REMAINS IN PLACE. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RESUME LATE
SATURDAY...AND THIS SHOULD KEEP MOST LOCATIONS WELL ABOVE FREEZING
SATURDAY NIGHT. SEASONABLE WEATHER WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.

AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN
HANDLING A LARGE UPPER CUTOFF LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S.
THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO INTERACT WITH A SLOWLY ADVANCING COLD
FRONT...BRINGING BENEFICIAL RAINS TO MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS. WHILE SOME HEAVY RAIN THREAT SEEMS TO EXIST...PINPOINTING
EXACT LOCATIONS/AMOUNTS WOULD BE IRRESPONSIBLE AT THIS TIME. JUST
KNOW YOU CAN EXPECT A CLOUDY...COOL...AND LIKELY WET MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...DRY AND SEASONABLE CONDITIONS
LOOK TO RESUME.

AUSTIN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  45  58  31  58 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         43  61  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  46  65  33  61 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           37  57  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     41  53  27  56 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK         48  64  33  58 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR OKZ005>008-
     011>013-018>020-026.

     FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
     OKZ004-009-010-014>017-021>025-027>032-035-038>043-046>048-
     051-052.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/23/23




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