The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.
584 FXUS65 KMSO 282047 AFDMSO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Missoula MT 247 PM MDT Mon Jul 28 2014 .DISCUSSION... The weather over the Northern Rockies this week will be dominated by a ridge of high pressure centered over Western Montana and monsoonal moisture moving slowly around the ridge throughout the period. The high pressure under the ridge will bring continued hot temperatures, and the moisture support a chance of showers and thunderstorms at times throughout the week. With an absence of any significant upper-level features to aid in triggering storms, the main factor will be very weak and subtle impulses moving through the ridge, and thunderstorm chances will be largely dependent on moisture availability. Thus, while there is low confidence in any one day, it is likely that midweek will have the best chance of thunderstorm activity as models show the best moisture moving through in that period. In terms of impacts to Western Montana and North-Central Idaho, we are not expecting anything significant at this time as the storms do not look to be particularly strong. Lightning is still a concern, as with all thunderstorms, although increasing moisture during the week could help offset fire vulnerability. Flash flooding, while not outside the realm of possibility, is not a big concern at this time as storm motion looks to speed up by the time the best moisture arrives midweek. Looking ahead to the latter part of the week and into the weekend, there is a potential for a stronger upper-level disturbance, originally rooted in the subtropics, to drift northward and bring better instability as well as increased moisture to the Northern Rockies around Saturday. We will be watching this feature closely in the coming days. && .AVIATION...A small threat exists for afternoon and evening thunderstorms, mainly impacting KSMN and perhaps KBTM. Meanwhile, breezy north winds are possible at KMSO late this afternoons. Conditions will clear out shortly after sunset with winds diminishing. && .MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MT...None. ID...None. && $$ Follow us on Facebook and Twitter! https://www.facebook.com/NWSMissoula https://www.twitter.com/NWSMissoula