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068 FXUS65 KMSO 020925 AFDMSO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Missoula MT 325 AM MDT THU OCT 2 2014 .DISCUSSION...The cold front moving south out of Alberta early this morning has already begun to cause gusty east to northeast winds and snow showers east of the Continental Divide near Glacier National Park. This is expected to continue and intensify throughout the morning, with the chance for snow existing above roughly 5000 feet in elevation, including Marias and Logan passes. Very raw, cold, and windy backcountry conditions will exist during this time. This disturbance will continue to move south and east through the morning and early afternoon hours, impacting down into the Bob Marshall Wilderness region before exiting completely to the east. Drier air and sunnier skies will then occur for the rest of the day, though gusty north-northwest winds will linger through the evening hours, especially from along I-90 and points south in western Montana and central Idaho. Friday morning will likely start out quite chilly as a cool and dry airmass filters in behind today`s system, which will allow skies to clear. Many locations have the potential to drop well below freezing, especially valley locations in northwest Montana and along the Continental Divide. Those sensitive to below freezing temperatures (any remaining gardening, exposed hoses, etc) should take precautions. Dry northwest flow is expected over the region into early next week. A slow warming trend will occur, with temperatures reaching slightly above seasonal normals by the weekend. Winds could become a bit breezy on Saturday afternoon, with the main impact being increased chop on area lakes. Forecast models continue to show a flattening of the flow (turning more westerly) by mid week. This could open the door for cooling temperatures, increased winds, and possibly precipitation, especially across northwest Montana. && .AVIATION...Gusty east to northeast winds will occur this morning at KGPI with mountain obscurations prevalent as a cold front crosses the area through about noon today. Thereafter, conditions should improve greatly, however gusty winds will linger into the afternoon hours. Elsewhere, fair flying conditions will exist as most other locations will be free of any impact from the fast- moving cold front this morning. KBTM, KMSO, and KSMN will likely encounter gusty north winds this afternoon and evening, but otherwise...few impacts are expected. && .MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until Noon MDT today ABOVE 5000 FEET for the West Glacier Region. ID...None. && $$