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108
FXUS62 KMLB 280144
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
843 PM EST THU NOV 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...

...COLDER OVERNIGHT WITH WIND CHILLS DIPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER
30S..
...MARINE CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

.UPDATE...SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE TIGHTENING OVERNIGHT WITH
SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE SE STATES. 12KM NAM INDICATES
925 MB WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 20-30 KNOTS KEEPING LOW LEVELS MIXED
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. WINDS WILL STAY NEAR 10 MPH OR DROP OFF
TO 5-10 MPH SOME INTERIOR AND FAR SRN AREAS LATE. ON FCST
UPDATE...HAVE LOWS MAINLY IN THE 40S...EXCEPT SOME UPPER 30S ACROSS
FAR NRN INTERIOR AND POSSIBLY ACROSS THE SRN INTERIOR AS WELL IN
AREAS WHERE WINDS DROP OFF. WIND CHILLS AROUND DAWN MAINLY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 30S. DURATIONS FOR ADVISORY CRITERIA LOOK MARGINAL WITH
WIND CHILLS NEAR 35 FOR AN HOUR OR TWO NEAR SUNRISE IN SOME
SPOTS...LIKELY IN AREAS WHERE WINDS DROP BELOW 10 MPH. WILL CONTINUE
TO MENTION WIND CHILLS IN THE ZFP FOR THE LATE NIGHT HOURS.

&&

.AVIATION...MAINLY CLEAR THRU 28/15Z. NORTHERLY WINDS TONIGHT TO 10
KNOTS WILL BECOME NNE ON FRI WITH 10-13 KT WINDS THRU THE DAY. SOME
MARINE STRATOCU WILL APPROACH THE COAST FROM KMLB S FRI AFTN.

&&

.MARINE...18Z NAM/GFS/AND RECENT 13KM RAP MODELS INDICATE INCREASING
WINDS TO AROUND 20-23 SUSTAINED FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FOR UPDATE...INCREASED WINDS AND SEAS
LATER TONIGHT INTO THE NEAR SHORE ZONES AS CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE
VERY GOOD FOR EARLY MORNING BOATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE NOW
IN EFFECT FOR ALL MARINE AREAS INTO PORTIONS OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  41  62  45  68 /   0  10   0   0
MCO  41  63  46  72 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  42  65  48  70 /   0  10   0   0
VRB  44  67  50  73 /   0  10  10   0
LEE  38  61  42  70 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  40  62  45  71 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  42  63  47  71 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  46  67  50  72 /   0  10  10   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL
     WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET
     OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN
     INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...VOLKMER
LONG TERM....KELLY








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