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950
FXUS62 KMLB 290202
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
902 PM EST WED JAN 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTED HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE NEAR THE EASTERN
SEABOARD WILL NUDGE ONLY SLIGHTLY EAST.  THIS WILL CAUSE THE NORTH
FLOW OF COOL/DRY AIR DOWN THE PENINSULA TO CONTINUE.  A COASTAL
TROUGH WILL EVOLVE AS WINDS OVER THE ATLANTIC TURN NORTHEAST.  THIS
WILL BRING A LITTLE ATLANTIC STRATOCUMULUS ASHORE...MAINLY ALONG THE
TREASURE COAST.  THE AIR MASS IS VERY DRY AND THE INTERIOR WILL
REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR WITH ONLY SOME THIN CIRRUS LATE. THE CURRENT
FORECAST MIN TEMPS LOOK GOOD SHOWING 40S OVER MOST OF THE AREA WITH
SOME LOWER 50S FAR SOUTH COAST AND UPPER 30S FAR NORTH INTERIOR.

THU...THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL GET SHUNTED SOUTH INTO CENTRAL
FLORIDA BY LATE IN THE DAY AS A FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES. THIS WILL CAUSE WINDS TO DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO
EASTERLY.  LOOKS LIKE A PLEASANT DAY WITH SCATTERED CUMULUS AND
TEMPS PRETTY CLOSE TO NORMAL IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
VFR. NORTH WINDS TONIGHT WILL TURN NE TO E ON THURSDAY 5 TO 10
KNOTS. MARINE STRATOCU WILL BEGIN TO PUSH ONSHORE TONIGHT WITH
SCT-BKN CONDS THU ESP MLB-SUA BUT CIGS WILL BE 035-040AGL.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT/THU...STUBBORN NORTHERLY WINDS WERE CONTINUING THIS EVENING
AT BUOY 41009 WITH SPEEDS AROUND 20 KNOTS.  ALL THE GUIDANCE IS
SHOWING THAT SLOW MOVING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG THE EASTERN
SEABOARD WILL GET SHUNTED SOUTH INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE THU.
THIS WILL CAUSE WINDS TO VEER TO THE NORTHEAST BY SUNRISE AND BECOME
EASTERLY THROUGH THE DAY WHILE DIMINISHING TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS LATE.
THE CURRENT ADVISORY IN THE GULF STREAM LOOKS GOOD.  WILL PROBABLY
NEED AN EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT EARLY THU IN THE GULF STREAM.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM
     FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO
     60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

FORECASTS...LASCODY
IMPACT WX...VOLKMER






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