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173
FXUS62 KMLB 210011
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
811 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS WILL ONLY
MOVE SLIGHTLY EAST-NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT WITH LOW LEVEL N-NE FLOW
CONTINUING OVER THE AREA. MOISTURE TRAPPED BELOW AN INVERSION
IS KEEPING AN EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUD DECK OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
AND WITH NO DRYING EXPECTED FROM UPSTREAM BASED ON LATEST
SATELLITE IMAGERY...EXPECT THESE CLOUDS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPS...CURRENTLY IN THE 60S...FROM FALLING
TOO MUCH OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER LOWERED MIN TEMPS A FEW DEGREES
CLOSER TO MOS GUIDANCE VALUES IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. ANY
ISOLATED SHOWER ACTIVITY TO REMAIN OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS
THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...LOW CLOUD DECK PRODUCING MVFR CONDS FROM KMLB TO
KMCO/KISM NORTHWARD SHOULD PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND EVEN FILTER BACK
SOUTH INTO OKEECHOBEE AND THE TREASURE COAST LATER THIS EVENING. A
GRADUALLY LOWERING OF CIGS WILL OCCUR WITH A FEW SPOTS POSSIBLY
BECOMING IFR LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT KLEE AND KDAB. AS THE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH LOW OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS
PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA SHOULD SEE CONDS IMPROVE INTO MONDAY FROM
THE LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...LOW LEVEL NORTHERLY FLOW UP TO 15-20 KNOTS NEARSHORE AND
20 TO 25 KNOTS OFFSHORE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WITH SEAS UP TO 8-10 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM.
AN SCA CONTINUES FOR THE ENTIRE WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.


&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET
     20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

WEITLICH/VOLKMER







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