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772
FXUS62 KMLB 020105
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
905 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE CONTINUES TO PUSH WESTWARDS
ACROSS LAKE COUNTY THIS EVENING WITH CONSIDERABLY LESS GUSTO THAN
EARLIER. WHILE A STORM OR TWO HAS MANAGED TO DEVELOP ALONG IT IN THE
PAST HOUR...THE OVERALL TREND ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE FOR WANING
ACTIVITY AS THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS DON`T SUPPORT MUCH ACTIVITY NOW
THAT DAYTIME HEATING IS GONE. A SHOWER OR STORM MAY BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION WHERE A FEW BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS HAVE YET TO PLAY
OUT...BUT MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

MOISTURE FROM AN APPROACHING WAVE OVER THE BAHAMAS WILL START TO
REACH INTO THE LOCAL ATLANTIC LATE TONIGHT ALONG WITH INCREASING
EAST-SOUTHEAST FLOW. MESO MODELS ARE SHOWING ONSHORE MOVING SHOWERS
ALONG THE TREASURE COAST AND POSSIBLY SPACE COAST LATE TONIGHT. HAVE
ADDED IN THE MENTION OF SHOWERS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN THESE
AREAS. OTHERWISE...LOW TEMPERATURES MILD AND IN THE 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...
A FEW SHRA/TSRA MAINLY WEST OF KISM-KDED AND VCNTY KOBE THROUGH
02/03Z WHILE REMAINING BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS PLAY OUT. PREVAILING
VFR OVERNIGHT. COASTAL LOCATIONS FROM KTIX SOUTHWARDS MAY SEE ISOLD
ATLC SHRA MOVING ONSHORE AFTER 02/09Z...ESPECIALLY VCNTY KVRB-KSUA.

ISOLD TSRA DEVELOPING AFTER 02/14Z ALONG COAST WITH EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE WITH SCT SHRA/TSRA AREAWIDE INTO THE AFTERNOON AS THE
ATMOSPHERE HEATS AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES VENTURE INLAND.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT-SATURDAY...EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-15KTS OVERNIGHT
DECREASING TO AROUND 10KTS AROUND DAYBREAK SAT. SEAS CONTINUE 2-3FT
OVER THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WITH MIXED PERIODS JUMPING BETWEEN 4-5SEC
AND 7-8SEC...BOTH PRESENT AT ALL LOCAL BUOYS. MODELS SUGGEST TREND
WILL BE TOWARDS DOMINANT PERIODS CLOSER TO 7-8SEC SO HAVE PUT THIS
AS THE FORECAST.

SCT SHOWERS AND ISOLD STORMS OVER LOCAL ATLANTIC OVERNIGHT AND SAT
MORN.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...MOSES
RADAR/IMPACT WEATHER....CRISTALDI









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