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987
FXUS62 KMLB 311401
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1000 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...SFC FRONT WILL BE SLIDING THROUGH THE SRN COUNTIES INTO
MID DAY WITH LOW LEVEL DRYING MOVING IN ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FL BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WILL HOLD ON TO A SMALL SHOWER CHANCE
FROM BREVARD COUNTY SOUTH TO SRN AREAS INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. SFC
DEWPOINTS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE MID 50S FROM LEESBURG TO DELAND WITH
DWPTS STILL IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S FROM MELBOURNE SOUTH TO THE
TREASURE COAST. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EARLY WILL BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH FROM THE
NORTHWEST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. NRN TERMINALS WILL SEE A LATE NIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS FROM THE
NW WITH GUSTS TO 18-22 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT STRONGER COLD
FRONT MOVING ACROSS E CENTRAL FL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NW/W WINDS MAINLY 10-15 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 15 KNOTS LATER
THIS EVENING AND TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE NRN
WATERS BEHIND THE STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH. SHORT RANGE
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES WINDS TO 25-30 KNOTS ACROSS THE NRN
OFFSHORE WATERS SATURDAY MORNING. MAY UPGRADE A PORTION OF THE
OFFSHORE WATERS TO GALE WITH AFTERNOON FORECAST.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SAT...STRONG DRY AIR ADVECTION PATTERN SAT AFTN BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT WITH NW SFC WINDS 15-20MPH...TRANSPORT WINDS 25-30MPH. MIN RH
VALUES EXPECTED TO FALL BLO 40PCT AREAWIDE...AOB 25PCT FOR 4-6HRS
NORTH OF LAKE KISSIMMEE-LAKE HARNEY-LAKE GEORGE. RED FLAG WARNINGS
ANTICIPATED...THOUGH OVERALL IMPACT OF THE DRY AIR WILL BE STUNTED
BY ERC VALUES THAT WILL BE LARGELY IN THE M/U20S.

SUN...
DRY AIR WILL LINGER ACRS THE INTERIOR AS SFC/TRANSPORT WINDS
DIMINISH AND VEER TO THE N/NE. MIN RH VALUES AOB 35PCT FOR 4-6HRS
NORTH OF LAKE KISSIMMEE-LAKE HARNEY-LAKE GEORGE.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES FOR NOVEMBER 2ND

DAB 43 SET IN 1993
MCO 46 SET IN 1993
MLB 45 SET IN 1993
VRB 47 SET IN 1993

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM EDT SATURDAY TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

VOLKMER/GLITTO








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