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[Printable]
030
FXUS62 KMFL 161416 AAB
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1016 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO
SHIFT SLOWLY SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON...AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH INTO CENTRAL
FLORIDA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A LIGHT NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW OVER
SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL DELAY THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THE SEA BREEZES ON BOTH COAST. THE PWAT VALUES THIS MORNING WAS
ALSO AROUND 1.9 INCHES FROM MIA SOUNDING WHICH IS NEAR NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR MORE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE BEST
COVERAGE OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS. THEREFORE...THE POPS WILL REMAIN
IN THE SCATTERED COVERAGE OVER THE METRO AREAS INCREASING TO
NUMEROUS COVERAGE OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AT THIS TIME AND NO OTHER CHANGES
ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

&&
.UPDATE...54/BNB


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 755 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014/

AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL RESULT IN
EASTERLY FLOW THROUGH THE DAY AT AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS AT THE
EAST COAST SITES AND A GULF BREEZE AT KAPF. SHRAS/TSRAS RESULTING
FROM SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS SHOULD STAY MAINLY ACROSS THE
INTERIOR. HOWEVER, SINCE THE GENERAL STORM MOTION IS FORECAST TO
BE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH VCTS IS INCLUDED IN THE TAFS AFTER 20Z FOR
ALL TERMINALS.

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  89  74  88  73 /  40  20  70  40
FORT LAUDERDALE  89  76  89  75 /  40  20  60  30
MIAMI            89  76  89  75 /  50  20  60  20
NAPLES           89  76  87  75 /  40  30  60  40

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...54/BNB
LONG TERM....13/SI




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