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[Printable]
491
FXUS62 KMFL 250832
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
432 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES AND INTO THE NORTHEAST. TWO SHORTWAVES WERE LOCATED ACROSS
THE MIDWEST...ONE CENTERED OVER ILLINOIS AND THE OTHER MOVING INTO
LAKE SUPERIOR. ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...MAINLY ZONAL FLOW WAS
OBSERVED. HOWEVER...A WEAK PERTURBATION WAS MOVING EAST OF FLORIDA
THIS MORNING...AND ANOTHER WAS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF. AT THE
SURFACE...WEAK RIDGING WAS NOTED ACROSS THE REGION. A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WAS ALSO DRAPED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. LAND BREEZES FROM
CUBA...INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
HAVE SPARKED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF THE KEYS THIS MORNING. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS MAY MOVE INTO THE
LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND MOVE TOWARDS SHORE.

FOR TODAY...THE WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST IS
FORECAST TO PUSH INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OFF THE SOUTHEAST
COAST. A FEW SHOWERS COULD PUSH INTO BROWARD COUNTY SOUTHWARD LATE
THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...BUT KEPT A SILENT 10 POP FOR
NOW. A WARM DAY IS IN STORE FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH HIGHS IN THE
80S TO THE LOWER 90S.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY
AS A COUPLE SHORTWAVES PUSH INTO THE ATLANTIC FROM THE NORTHEAST
CONUS. A DRY AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION WITH PWATS
AROUND AN INCH. SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL MOVE INLAND IN THE
AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CUTOFF ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND
THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY...AND THEN MEANDER THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL RISE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ON
SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL SHIFT TO
THE SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE SLIGHTLY...AND A FEW SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE WESTERN
INTERIOR.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW
WILL PERSIST...WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO PUSH EASTWARD
INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS BEFORE BECOMING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY AT THE EAST COAST
SITES...WITH A GULF BREEZE EXPECTED AT KAPF. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON
BUT BELIEVE COVERAGE SHOULD BE SPARSE. THEREFORE DID NOT MENTION
VCSH AT THIS TIME.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE WEATHER QUIET THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME POSSIBLE SHOWERS IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS
TODAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  87  69  87  72 /  10  10   0   0
FORT LAUDERDALE  87  72  87  75 /  10  10   0   0
MIAMI            87  72  89  74 /  10  10   0   0
NAPLES           84  67  84  70 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...84/AK
LONG TERM....84/AK
AVIATION...10/CD




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