weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Area Forecast Discussion
NWS Homepage
This page is being discontinued on March 12, 2014.
The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.


Current Version
Previous Version:    01  02  03  04  05  06  07  08  09  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  
   31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  
[Printable]
315
FXUS64 KMEG 020900
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
400 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.DISCUSSION...

SKIES ARE PARTLY CLOUDY ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 70S. THERE IS NO RAIN IN
THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME BUT THAT IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE
LATER TODAY. A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR CHICAGO TO
NEAR KANSAS CITY MISSOURI TO NEAR AMARILLO TEXAS. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH SLOWLY SOUTH TODAY AND WILL BE JUST NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN OVER EXTREME NORTHERN
SECTIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.

TONIGHT THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA
AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY THE COLD FRONT
SHOULD BEGIN TO FALL APART BUT THERE WILL STILL BE A SMALL CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT
BRINGING A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER. ON THURSDAY DAYTIME
HEATING MAY TRIGGER A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
WITH DRY WEATHER AGAIN EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT. THURSDAY SHOULD BE
THE WARMEST DAY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH HIGHS EXPECTED IN THE
LOW TO MID 90S.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION ON FRIDAY WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT. ON SATURDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA SO THERE WILL A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY NIGHT. BY SUNDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL BE THROUGH THE
REGION WITH RAIN ENDING DURING THE DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SOMEWHAT COOLER ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE DRY AND SOMEWHAT COOLER WITH LOWS IN THE 60S
OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE COLD FRONT WILL START TO LIFT
NORTH SOME ON MONDAY SO THERE MAY BE SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THIS TAF PERIOD WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF POTENTIAL STRATUS AFTER SUNRISE...AND WITH SCATTERED
CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS. BEST THREAT
FOR THUNDER ON STATION WILL BE AT JBR AND MKL. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST AT 6-10 KTS...WITH MORE VARIABILITY AND HIGHER GUSTS
DURING CONVECTION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE. LOWER CIGS/VIS VERY
POSSIBLE AT THE SITES JUST BEYOND THIS TAF PERIOD.

JAB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$








U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE