weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Area Forecast Discussion
NWS Homepage
This page is being discontinued on March 12, 2014.
The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.


Current Version
Previous Version:    01  02  03  04  05  06  07  08  09  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  
   31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  
[Printable]
878
FXUS64 KLCH 191128
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
628 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.AVIATION...

A STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHES THROUGH FREEPORT TO NAPLES FLORIDA
THIS MORNING. ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FOUND ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
AND ADJACENT COAST FOR TODAY.

JT

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...RADAR DEPICTING A FEW SHOWERS OVER OUR NEAR COASTAL
WATERS...WITH FURTHER DEVELOPMENT INLAND OF GALVESTON BAY.
ACTIVITY APPEARS TO FIRING ALONG LOW LEVEL 850 MB TROF AXIS AND
ASSOCIATED CONVERGENCE PER LATEST RUC. IR IMAGERY SHOWING
WIDESPREAD MID-LEVEL ALTOCU OVER THE FORECAST AREA...WHILE WATER
VAPOR CONTINUING TO SHOW CONSIDERABLE MID AND UPPER MOISTURE
STREAMING IN FROM THE WEST NORTHWEST COMPLIMENTS OF THE REMNANTS OF
ODILE. WATER VAPOR FURTHER SHOWS MOISTURE BEGINNING TO BE SHUNTED
SOUTHWARD AS A DEEP LAYER NORTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS BETWEEN DEEPENING
SOUTHEAST CONUS TROF AND AMPLIFYING SOUTH CONUS RIDGE.

FOR TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...MAIN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE NEAR COASTAL WATERS AND
IMMEDIATE COAST TODAY IN LINE WITH AXIS OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE.
DRIER AIR PUNCHING IN FROM THE NORTH AS MENTIONED WILL OVERSPREAD
THE INLAND AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT RESULTING IN A
GENERALLY DRY WEATHER PATTERN FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MODELS STILL PINGING ON OUR NEXT FROPA COMING MONDAY. DID INCREASE
POPS SLIGHTLY DURING THIS TIME-FRAME WITH A LITTLE MORE AVAILABLE
MOISTURE TO BE IN PLACE WITH PASSAGE. BLENDED TEMPS POST-FROPA
LANDING BETWEEN THE GFS...COOLER...AND THE ECMWF...WARMER.

MARINE...CONSIDERABLE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE
EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROF ADVANCES
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. MUCH DRIER HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
BECOMING REESTABLISHED WITH ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW WILL
PREVAIL. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE INTO AND THROUGH THE
NEAR COASTAL WATERS MONDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW MORE THUNDERSTORMS WITH ITS PASSAGE...AND AN
OFFSHORE FLOW IN ITS WAKE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  85  72  87  72  88 /  40  10  20  10  20
KBPT  84  73  85  73  87 /  40  20  20  10  20
KAEX  87  69  89  69  89 /  20  10  20  10  20
KLFT  86  72  88  72  89 /  30  10  20  10  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

$$











U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE