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203
FXUS64 KHGX 301125
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
625 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.AVIATION...
HAVE SOME MVFR FOG SHOWING UP EARLY THIS MORNING AT SGR. EXPECT VISIBILITIES
TO IMPROVE TO VFR BY 14Z/15Z AS FOG DISSIPATES. THE REST OF THE DAY
LOOKS QUIET FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE TAF SITES. BEST MOISTURE AXIS IS
EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM A SGR TO LBX AREA. FOR THE 12Z TAFS...WILL ONLY
MENTION VCSH AT LBX WHERE THE CHANCE IS EXPECTED TO BE THE GREATEST.
COULD SEE SOME MVFR FOG DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT UNDER LIGHT MAINLY SOUTH
WINDS.  42
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 414 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS AND EXTENDING INTO BRAZORIA COUNTY. TODAY LOOKS TO
BE QUIETER ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AS THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT LIFTS
BACK TO THE NORTH IN RESPONSE TO SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS IS DUE TO A LARGE SHORTWAVE OVER WYOMING
WHICH HAS CRESTED THE UPPER RIDGE AND WILL BEGIN TO PUSH SOUTHWARD
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WITH THE LOWER RAIN CHANCES TODAY HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH NEAR SEASONABLE VALUES IN THE LOW TO MID
90S.

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE OVERALL THINKING WITH REGARD TO THE
EXTENDED FORECAST. THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH THE
FRONT BACK INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY LEADING TO INCREASED RAIN
CHANCES FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT
SOMEWHERE NEAR THE COAST. LOWER HEIGHTS WILL LINGER ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WHICH
SHOULD ALLOW FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION AND THUS HAVE KEPT
SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE END OF THE CURRENT FORECAST
PERIOD. 38

MARINE...
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS WILL PERSIST UNTIL A
WEAK COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OFF
THE COAST LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. VARIABLE
WINDS (IN A 5 TO 10 KNOT RANGE) ALONG WITH LOW SEAS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE WEEKEND. EXPECT
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS IN/AROUND STORMS.  42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      95  75  94  72  91 /  10  10  30  40  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              94  75  94  76  90 /  20  10  20  40  40
GALVESTON (GLS)            91  80  89  80  88 /  20  10  10  20  40

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...38
AVIATION/MARINE...42




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