795
FXUS65 KFGZ 030403
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
900 PM MST WED OCT 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
THROUGH THURSDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS. WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHEASTERLY FRIDAY WITH EVEN WINDIER CONDITIONS SATURDAY MORNING
ESPECIALLY FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD INTO YAVAPAI COUNTY.
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL RUN FROM 5
TO 15 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL VALUES...THEN RETURNING CLOSER TO
NORMAL VALUES BY MONDAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH NO FORECAST
UPDATES NEEDED. WINDS ALOFT ARE INCREASING...AND THIS SHOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED WITH THE PAST FEW
NIGHTS.

.PREV DISCUSSION...(315 PM MST)...AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH
AND COLD FRONT WILL BRING BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR THURSDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH ARE
ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA OVERNIGHT THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT THE AIRMASS WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
FOR FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY RUNNING 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL
AVERAGES. A NORTHEAST FLOW WILL ACCOMPANY THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES.

MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWEST STATES BRINGING NEAR NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES...DRY
CONDITIONS AND LIGHTER WINDS.

WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DESCEND
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TOWARD ARIZONA. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES...BREEZY SOUTHWEST TO WEST
WINDS...AND A 5 TO 10 DEGREE DROP IN HIGH TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. EXPECT STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25KT WITH GUSTS
30-35KT AFTER 16Z...TAPERING OFF AFTER 02Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........JJ/TC
AVIATION.......JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF