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795 FXUS65 KFGZ 030403 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 900 PM MST WED OCT 2 2013 .SYNOPSIS...EXPECT SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THURSDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEASTERLY FRIDAY WITH EVEN WINDIER CONDITIONS SATURDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD INTO YAVAPAI COUNTY. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WILL RUN FROM 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL VALUES...THEN RETURNING CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES BY MONDAY. && .DISCUSSION...CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH NO FORECAST UPDATES NEEDED. WINDS ALOFT ARE INCREASING...AND THIS SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER TONIGHT COMPARED WITH THE PAST FEW NIGHTS. .PREV DISCUSSION...(315 PM MST)...AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL BRING BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR THURSDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA OVERNIGHT THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THE AIRMASS WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY RUNNING 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES. A NORTHEAST FLOW WILL ACCOMPANY THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES. MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST STATES BRINGING NEAR NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES...DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHTER WINDS. WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DESCEND SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TOWARD ARIZONA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES...BREEZY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS...AND A 5 TO 10 DEGREE DROP IN HIGH TEMPERATURES. && .AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EXPECT STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25KT WITH GUSTS 30-35KT AFTER 16Z...TAPERING OFF AFTER 02Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$ PUBLIC.........JJ/TC AVIATION.......JJ FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
