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848 FXUS64 KEWX 191053 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 553 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013 .DISCUSSION... SEE AVIATION FOR 12Z TAFS. && .AVIATION... S AND SE SFC WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...AS A SFC RIDGE CONTINUES EAST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES ACROSS WEST TEXAS. THE MID TO LATE JUNE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL MAINTAIN STABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE AREA. THROUGH 15Z CIGS OF 1 THSD TO 2 THSD BKN OCNL SCT VCNTY OF KAUS TO KSAT AND KSSF...AND FEW TO SCT CLOUDS NEAR 2 THSD FT WEST OF KSAT AND KSSF TO THE RIO GRANDE WILL BECOME FEW TO SCT CLOUDS AT 3 THSD TO 5 THSD FT AFTER 15Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT...WITH CIGS NEAR 1 THSD TO 2 THSD BKN VCNTY OF KAUS TO KSAT AND KSSF. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS DURING THE DAY WILL BE SE AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS IN THE EVENING AND SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013/ SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)... THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TODAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS TEXAS FROM MEXICO. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE GULF. THIS WILL BE A DRY PATTERN FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BRING MORNING CLOUDINESS TO THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA. THESE CLOUDS WILL BURN OFF THIS AFTERNOON FOR A MOSTLY SUNNY AFTERNOON WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE ESSENTIALLY A REPEAT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BECOMING MORE STRONGLY ESTABLISHED. LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)... LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF. THIS WILL MEAN A DRY AND WARM FORECAST. SOME MINOR CHANGES BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. SOME MINOR HEIGHT FALLS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS WILL ALLOW A MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE GULF TO ENTER THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF OUR CWA. THIS WILL BRING AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION TO THE AREA STARTING SUNDAY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP EACH DAY THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 97 74 98 75 97 / - 0 0 0 0 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 97 72 97 73 96 / - 0 0 0 0 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 95 74 95 73 94 / - 0 0 0 0 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 94 72 94 73 93 / - 0 0 0 0 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 96 77 98 76 96 / - 0 0 0 0 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 95 73 96 74 95 / - - 0 0 0 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 96 74 96 73 95 / - 0 0 0 0 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 94 75 95 73 94 / - 0 0 0 0 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 97 77 97 76 97 / 10 - 0 0 0 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 95 76 95 75 94 / - 0 0 0 0 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 94 74 94 73 93 / - 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...08 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05 PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12
