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593
FXUS64 KEWX 261118
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
618 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.AVIATION...
NO SIGNS OF CEILINGS ON THE INFRARED SATELLITE THIS MORNING. WILL
REMOVE THE MENTION OF MVFR FOR NOW AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
OTHERWISE...VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY. BREEZY SOUTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE TAF SITES WITH SPEEDS AVERAGING
15-20 KNOTS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A BIT BETTER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
FOR TOMORROW MORNING AND WILL MENTION MVFR CIGS FOR TOMORROW.

HAMPSHIRE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 342 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS MAINLY
ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 AS STRATUS/LOW CLOUDS DEVELOP.
BY MID MORNING...MOST CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE/ERODE WITH
FEW CLOUDS LINGERING AROUND 5-6KFT THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACCORDING TO
AREA FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND CROSS-SECTIONS. ANOTHER HOT DAY IS IN
STORE ACROSS THE REGION WITH MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS TWO-THIRDS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND NEAR 102 IN THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE
PLAINS. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES WITH REST OF THE AREA
STAYING DRY...HOT AND HUMID. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY WITH EARLY MORNING CLOUDS AND PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S EAST AND
NEAR 102 ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
CONTINUED TO SHOW GOOD CHANCES FOR RAIN FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHIFTS TO THE WEST AND LONG WAVE TROUGH TAKES
OVER THE EASTERN PART OF CONUS. IN ADDITION...AN UNSEASONABLE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS ON TUESDAY AND
STALL JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE HILL COUNTRY. AS THIS HAPPEN...RICH
TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL PUSH NORTHWARD WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGING FROM 1.8 TO 2.2 INCHES MAINLY
ALONG AND EAST OF A BURNET TO SEGUIN TO CUERO LINE. ANY STORM THAT
DOES DEVELOP UNDER THIS ENVIRONMENT HAS THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN. BY WEDNESDAY...THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A LITTLE
SOUTHWARD PROGRESS WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN ONE-THIRD OF THE AREA. ONCE THURSDAY
COME AROUND...THE FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING MOST
AREA FOR THAT PERIOD. WITH PWATS IN THE 2 INCH CATEGORY DURING
THAT TIME...HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY AND COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. STORM RAINFALL TOTALS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH ALONG AND WEST
OF HIGHWAY 281 WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES EAST. CAN`T RULE OUT VERY
ISOLATED SPOTS RECEIVING UP TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL FOR THIS
LATE JULY RAIN EVENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY             100  76  99  75  97 /  -   -   -   -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  99  74  98  73  96 /  -   -   -   -   -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     98  73  99  73  97 /  -   -   -   -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            97  73  98  73  96 /  -   -   -   -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          100  78 100  78  98 /  -   -   -   -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        97  75  98  74  96 /  -   -   -   -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             98  73  98  73  96 /  -   -   -   -   -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        97  74  99  73  96 /  -   -   -   -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   97  76  97  76  97 /  -   -   -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       98  76  97  76  96 /  -   -   -   -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           98  75  98  74  96 /  -   -   -   -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...29
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...17
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33






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