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456 FXUS63 KEAX 242348 AFDEAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 648 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2014 .DISCUSSION... Issued at 225 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014 A rather active mid afternoon so I`ll be brief. The current activity is the last round associated with a progressive upr lvl trough that is now working into the WRN portion of the CWA. As such, the precip will continue to move off to the east and should be out of the CWA by early this evening along with clearing skies. Tomorrow will be a stellar day despite breezy southwest winds. RH values should remain high enough to mitigate the need for a red flag warning across our WRN zones. As for the weekend and the rest of the fcst period... a very large upr lvl low will develop over the WRN CONUS and move toward our region. As it does our chance for storms increases Saturday night through Monday. At this time the latest suite of NWP depict the possibility for SVR storms on Sunday and perhaps again on Monday. Sunday`s setup could lead to widespread SVR, but it is unclear whether our CWA will see the worst of it as a lot of things need to align - an that remains unclear at this time. After Monday, the upper level system ushers in cooler air and keeps the region unsettled with spotty light rain showers. Dprog/Dt of the GFS and EC sfc temps for TUE and WED have been slightly warmer so hopefully we can avoid a late frost. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening) Issued at 643 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014 Low to middle altitude stratus deck will erode at the terminals within the next couple hours with clear skies dominating the remainder of the forecast period. Gust northwest winds will also diminish as the evening/night proceeds. Winds will return from the southwest early Friday morning and pick up in intensity through the day to around 15 kts, with gusts up to 20-25 kts. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. MO...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION...Pietrycha AVIATION...Leighton