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[Printable]
731
FXUS64 KCRP 182041
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
341 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
SITUATED OVER SOUTH TEXAS CURRENTLY WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
DURING THE SHORT TERM. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS WINDS GO LIGHT OVER THE EASTERN BRUSH
COUNTRY INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. UPPER LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF CA WILL MOVE INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY.
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WITH PW VALUES
INCREASING TO AROUND 1.5 INCHES OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.
CONVECTION MAY FIRE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY
AND MOVE OFF TO THE EAST. CAPPING MAY BE AN ISSUE THOUGH BUT WILL
HOLD ONTO THE LOW END 20 POPS FOR THE WESTERN ZONES. TEMPERATURES
ON SATURDAY WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH MIDDLE 80S OUT WEST TO LOWER
80S OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER SATURDAY
NIGHT WILL RESULT IN MILD OVERNIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE
60S AREAWIDE. LOW POPS WERE RETAINED SATURDAY NIGHT AS UPPER
DISTURBANCE SLIDES FARTHER TO THE EAST.

&&

.LONG-TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
THE LONG TERM FORECAST. WILL CONTINUE WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
POPS SUN-MON AS WEAK S/W ENERGY AND AN UPR LEVEL JET MOVES OVER THE
AREA AND INTERACTS WITH A MOISTENING ATMOSPHERE. PWATS CLIMB TO 1.3"
TO 1.5" DURING THIS PERIOD...HOWEVER THE CAP AND LACK OF SFC FORCING
WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR. BEST CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE SUNDAY...AND COASTAL BEND MONDAY. THE MID LVL
TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY WITH RIDGE BUILDING
OVERHEAD AND PERSISTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS THE TROUGH EXITS A
WEAK BOUNDARY WILL SETTLE ACROSS EAST TEXAS RELAXING OUR SFC WINDS.
THESE LIGHT WIND CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
BEFORE THE NEXT TROUGH DEVELOP IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. MODERATE
ONSHORE WINDS WILL THEN COMMENCE AND PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING OVERHEAD...TEMPERATURES WILL HEAT UP
TO MORE SUMMER LIKE VALUES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY AND
RIO GRANDE PLAINS. EXPECT MAX TEMPS TO RANGE FROM THE MID 80S ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST COASTAL BEND TO THE MID 90S OUT WEST DURING THE
TUE-FRI TIME PERIOD. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    60  81  65  78  65  /  10  10  10  10  20
VICTORIA          58  82  61  80  63  /  10  10  10  10  20
LAREDO            64  86  68  86  69  /  10  20  20  20  20
ALICE             60  84  64  81  64  /  10  10  10  20  20
ROCKPORT          63  76  66  76  65  /  10  10  10  10  20
COTULLA           60  86  64  82  64  /  10  20  20  20  20
KINGSVILLE        60  83  65  80  66  /  10  10  10  20  20
NAVY CORPUS       64  75  67  77  66  /  10  10  10  10  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...SHORT TERM
JM/75...LONG TERM






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