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167
FXUS61 KCAR 010759
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
359 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY AS A HIGH PRESSURE
OVER EASTERN CANADA BUILDS ACROSS THE NORTH. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A RIDGE OF HIGHER PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR NRN AND
CENTRAL MAINE THROUGH THE PERIOD. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
WRN ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA AND ITS ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW
WILL AFFECT DOWNEAST MAINE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A CANADIAN HIGH WILL BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. CLEARING
SKIES WILL BUILD SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. THE GFS/NAM/GEM/AND
ECMWF ALL INDICATE THAT THE LOW SE OF NOVA SCOTIA WILL REMAIN
STATIONARY OR SLIGHTLY REGRESS TO THE NW THROUGH THE PERIOD...THE
ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE GULF
OF MAINE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH WEDNESDAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN ACROSS THE REGION FROM EASTERN QUEBEC.
EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES ACROSS DOWNEAST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 60S ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD TO OUR NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WHILE LOW
PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S AND HIGHS FRIDAY
WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS LABRADOR/NEWFOUNDLAND THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. EXPECT A CONTINUATION OF MAINLY CLEAR
TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MOISTURE WILL START TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY AS A MOIST EASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS IN ADVANCE OF AN
APPROACHING OCCLUDED FRONT AND HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED ACROSS
LABRADOR/NEW NEWFOUNDLAND.

EXPECT THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS LATER SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE
OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH
BEHIND THE FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL
APPROACH FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FRO SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: PATCHY FOG AND AN AREA OF THIN LOW STRATUS CLOUDS
ACROSS NRN MAINE THIS MORNING WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS AT ALL NRN SITES BY MID MRNG...LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR
SKYS WILL ALLOW FOG TO SETTLE BACK IN TOMORROW MRNG ACROSS NRN
MAINE. MVFR IN BGR WILL BECOME VFR AFTER MID MRNG. BKN CLD COVER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. IFR CONDITIONS FOR BHB WILL
BECOME MVFR AFTER MID MRNG AND REMAIN THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.


SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA FOR WNDS FOR THE OUTER WATERS FROM 10 AM TO
MIDNIGHT...WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AFTER MIDNIGHT...AN SCA FOR SEAS MAY
BE REQUIRED AFTER MIDNIGHT.


SHORT TERM:
&&


.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EDT
     TONIGHT FOR ANZ050-051.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA
MARINE...NORTON/DUDA









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