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245
FXUS65 KBOI 190944
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
344 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MILD SW FLOW TODAY WILL BRING
VALLEY HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S. SW WIND GUSTS OVER OREGON AND FAR
SW IDAHO WILL PROBABLY REACH 30 MPH DUE TO THICK MIXED LAYER
TAPPING UPPER LEVEL STRONG WINDS. FLOW WILL DRAW MOISTURE FROM NV
TO SRN TWF COUNTY WHERE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE
FORECAST...IN LINE WITH NAM. GFS KEEPS INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE
FARTHER SOUTH OVER NV THOUGH. GUSTY SHIFTING WINDS OVER OREGON
THROUGH THE EVENING ASSOCIATED WITH A MAINLY DRY COLD FRONT WILL
SHIFT OVER IDAHO 9 PM-3 AM. SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING
CLOUDINESS SPLITTING OVER SE WA SO WENT WITH DRIER POPS OF
METBC/MAVBC VS. ECEBC SATURDAY NIGHT. THE LATTER HAS SCT SHOWERS
OVER CENTRAL IDAHO COOLER WITH LIGHT BREEZES SUNDAY IS STILL ON
TRACK.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH  SATURDAY...ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CARRY OVER INTO MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT
GRADUALLY SHIFTS EASTWARD TOWARD WYOMING. IN THIS
PATTERN...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ADVECT MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
NORTHEASTWARD...WARRANTING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL IDAHO MONDAY AFTERNOON. CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION
/ALL AREAS/ INCREASE TUESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT TRACKS EAST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
DOMINATE WEDNESDAY...FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS AND BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. DRIER CONDITIONS THURSDAY WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS
ANOTHER POTENT PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES INTO OREGON/IDAHO BY MID-DAY
FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD VFR UNDER SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS. LIGHT DIURNAL
SURFACE WINDS THROUGH 17Z...BECOMING W/NW 5 TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS
AROUND 25 KTS AFTER 17Z. WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL AVERAGE 25 KTS AT
10K FT MSL. WINDS TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AS A DRY COLD FRONT
MOVES EAST ACROSS OREGON/IDAHO.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...VM
LONG TERM....MT
AVIATION.....MT




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