weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Area Forecast Discussion
NWS Homepage
This page is being discontinued on March 12, 2014.
The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.


Current Version
Previous Version:    01  02  03  04  05  06  07  08  09  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  
   31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  
[Printable]
847
FXUS64 KBMX 180918
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
418 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A LARGELY NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS WILL
LIKELY KEEP DEEP GULF MOISTURE CUT OFF AND RAIN CHANCES TO A
MINIMUM. THERE ARE A FEW CURIOUSLY PLACED SHOWERS JUST TO OUR
NORTH...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THEY ARE HAVE A TOUGH TIME GETTING
MUCH FARTHER SOUTH. WE`LL SEE HOW THEY PROGRESS THROUGH THE
MORNING AND AMEND TO ADD SOME SMALL RAIN CHANCES IF LATER NEEDED.
BUT RIGHT NOW I THINK THINGS SHOULD STAY OUT OF OUR AREA.

OTHERWISE...ITS REALLY HARD TO PINPOINT ANYTHING THAT WILL LEAD TO
DEFINITIVE RAIN CHANCES OVER THE COMING DAYS. THERE`S VARIOUS
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES THAT PASS THROUGH THAT COULD CAUSE A BRIEF
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS OR STORMS HERE AND THERE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

MODELS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE TIMING OF THE NEXT
FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE IN EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS FRONT WILL ALSO
HAVE A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED SHOWER OR
STORM ACTIVITY. BUT THE MAIN STORY WILL BE THE COOLER AND LESS
HUMID CONDITIONS AFTER ITS PASSAGE.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE PERIOD. LIGHT FOG POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND INCLUDED SOME MVFR VSBYS AT KTOI FOR A FEW
HOURS NEAR SUNRISE. SOME OF THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT A FEW SHWRS
ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA BETWEEN 1200 UTC AND 1700 UTC...BUT CHANCES
TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN FORECAST.

58/ROSE


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     85  61  85  64  84 /   0  10  10  10  10
ANNISTON    85  63  85  65  83 /   0  10  10  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  86  64  87  66  85 /   0  10  10   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  90  66  90  67  89 /  10  10  10   0   0
CALERA      87  65  87  66  85 /   0  10  10   0   0
AUBURN      89  66  87  66  84 /   0  10  20  10  10
MONTGOMERY  91  67  90  66  87 /   0  10  10  10  10
TROY        91  66  90  65  85 /   0  10  10  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE