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[Printable]
998
FXUS64 KBMX 270925
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
425 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...

WE WILL HAVE A COUPLE MORE DAYS OF DRY WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA. BY THE END OF THE WEEK...AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE
WEEKEND...MOISTURE LEVELS WILL INCREASE TO THE POINT WHERE
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME BACK
INTO THE FORECAST. ALSO HELPING TO SET OFF THE RAIN OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE
COUNTRY AND INTO THE OH/TN VALLEYS...ALONG WITH OTHER SMALLER
DISTURBANCES MOVING FROM THE GULF INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. IT
LOOKS LIKE THE BEST RAIN CHANCES (WITH MAXIMIZED PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES) WILL COME ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. BEYOND
THAT...LOWER MODEL AGREEMENT LEADS ME TO GO WITH A LARGELY CLIMO
BASED FORECAST. AFTER A RATHER WARM STRETCH OF DAYS THE MIDDLE OF
THIS WEEK...THE RAIN CHANCES...ADDED CLOUDS...AND LOWER
HEIGHTS/THICKNESSES WILL ALL LEAD TO SOMEWHAT LESS WARM CONDITIONS
OVER THE WEEKEND.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE STATE. CLEAR AND CALM TONIGHT
WITH LIGHT EAST-NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ON WEDNESDAY.

19


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     92  64  95  66  94 /   0   0   0   0  10
ANNISTON    91  65  93  68  93 /   0   0   0   0  10
BIRMINGHAM  93  68  95  70  94 /   0   0   0   0  10
TUSCALOOSA  95  67  96  70  95 /   0   0   0   0  10
CALERA      93  68  95  70  94 /   0   0   0   0  10
AUBURN      91  67  94  69  93 /   0   0   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  94  67  95  69  95 /   0   0   0   0  10
TROY        92  66  94  67  94 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






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