weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Area Forecast Discussion
NWS Homepage
This page is being discontinued on March 12, 2014.
The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.


Current Version
Previous Version:    01  02  03  04  05  06  07  08  09  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  
   31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  
[Printable]
345
FXUS64 KAMA 272115
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
315 PM CST THU NOV 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A RATHER BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE PANHANDLES FOR
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS AS THE MAIN WEATHER CHALLENGES WILL BE
TEMPERATURES FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD AND THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT
ON SUNDAY.

SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS WILL THIN OUT GIVING WAY TO CLEAR SKIES WITH
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE 30S. FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY WILL BE QUITE UNSEASONABLY WARM WITH HIGHS EASILY 12 TO
20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH A FEW LOCATIONS EVEN APPROACHING THE 80
DEGREE MARK. SO GET OUT AND ENJOY...MAYBE PUT UP THOSE CHRISTMAS
LIGHTS AND DECORATIONS BECAUSE BIG CHANGES ARE ON THE HORIZON.

SUNDAY HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR A BIG HIGH TEMPERATURE BUST AS A
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT TAKES AIM FOR THE REGION. IT WOULD NOT BE A
SURPRISE TO SEE A LARGE (25F+ DEGREE) TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE ARRIVAL OF THIS FRONT LOOKS
TO BE QUITE THE HEADACHE AS THE GFS IS ROUGHLY 6-8 HOURS FASTER WITH
ITS ARRIVAL THAN THE SLOWER ECMWF SOLUTION. IF THE FASTER GFS
SOLUTION OCCURS...HIGHS COULD BE SEVERAL DEGREES LOWER THAN THE
CURRENT 60S FORECAST. HOWEVER...IF THE ECMWF SOLUTION PANS
OUT...SUNDAY COULD TURN INTO A NICE WARM DAY ESPECIALLY FOR THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.

AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...MUCH COLDER AIR
WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION WITH MONDAY MORNING LOWS DIPPING WELL
INTO THE TEENS...A FAR CRY FROM THE ALMOST 80S 48 HOURS BEFOREHAND!
MONDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY STAY IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL QUICKLY TAKE OVER THE PATTERN BY TUESDAY AS A
NICE WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. HIGHS
WILL BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS WITH 60S EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

KNS

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON FRIDAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...AND ON SATURDAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE PANHANDLES...AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES FALL BELOW 20 PERCENT AND WESTERLY 20FT WINDS INCREASE ABOVE
15MPH.

KNS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                35  76  40  79  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  30  73  31  75  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              35  78  38  78  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  37  78  43  81  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              33  78  38  78  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  34  77  40  77  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               34  76  40  80  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 29  79  33  79  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  32  76  35  79  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                34  78  40  79  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                35  72  36  76  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   35  75  41  77  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                32  69  37  78  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              35  70  39  79  42 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$





U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE