Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
200
FLUS44 KTSA 011803
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
103 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
103 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015



THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...PRIMARILY EAST OF A LINE FROM MIAMI TO MCALESTER.
ONSET...MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED...NON SEVERE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
ONGOING THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A DISTURBANCE LIFTING NORTHWARD FROM
CENTRAL TEXAS. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS THAT HAVE REMAINED RAIN FREE.
SUFFICIENT WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO BE IN PLACE...AND WILL PROMOTE AN
INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST
WITH STORMS THAT BECOME SEVERE DURING THIS PERIOD.

ADDITIONALLY... SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. RAPID FIRE SPREAD POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
WITH FIRES THAT QUICKLY BECOME OUT OF CONTROL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE...AND
POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FROM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. SUPERCELL STORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP DURING THIS
TIMEFRAME...AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 2 TO 3 INCH SIZE
HAIL.

FURTHERMORE...SHOULD SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR DEVELOP BY
THURSDAY EVENING...THEN TORNADIC STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BECOME
MORE LIKELY.  A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS...FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTH WINDS.

DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS PREVAIL SATURDAY...WITH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURNING SUNDAY.  THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE AGAIN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONG
STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.