Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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664
FLUS44 KTSA 190055
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
755 PM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
755 PM CDT MON AUG 18 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT STORMS CURRENTLY OVER NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA WILL MIGRATE EAST TOWARD NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA MAINLY WEST
OF HIGHWAY 75. THERE IS ALSO A LIMITED RISK OF OVERNIGHT SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL/WIND WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT.

POCKETS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN FELL ACROSS PAWNEE AND CREEK COUNTIES
EARLIER THIS EVENING. SOME FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL REMAINS...BUT
SHOULD GRADUALLY ABATE AS RAINFALL HAS ENDED IN THESE AREAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY BEFORE A
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR THE REGION FINALLY LIFTS NORTHEAST. IN
THE WAKE OF THE EXITING BOUNDARY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT
IS FORECAST TO SET UP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...LEADING TO HOT
AND DRY WEATHER FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TO
CLOSE OUT THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

LACY




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