Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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936
FLUS44 KTSA 151747
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1247 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1247 PM CDT TUE JUL 15 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY SPREAD INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
APPROACHES. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS WHERE WIDESPREAD 2 TO
5 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS
WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO BOTH FLASH FLOODING AND MAIN-STEM RIVER
FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND POSSIBLY INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS DURING
THE WEDNESDAY...THURSDAY TIME FRAME. IN ADDITION A FEW SEVERE
STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH TO NEAR THE RED RIVER.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP INTO THE WEEKEND...AS AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION...WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAT INDICES TO EXCEED 100 DEGREES BY MONDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$








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