Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 012205
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
505 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
505 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALONG THE KANSAS BORDER.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...ALONG THE KANSAS BORDER.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL DEVELOP THIS
EVENING IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA... ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
KANSAS BORDER. GREATER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BE FOUND IN
KANSAS ITSELF. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP... INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL
FOR LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS... AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AFFECTING PARTS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA BEFORE SUNRISE. A LIMITED THREAT OF LARGE HAIL
AND STRONG WINDS WILL EXIST.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING
THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA... AND SHOULD
CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY
AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON... ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED ALONG A COLD FRONT IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA... PUSHING INTO
WESTERN ARKANSAS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY WITH ANY AFTERNOON OR EVENING
STORMS... WITH HIGH INSTABILITY AND INCREASING SHEAR PRESENT.
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING MAY ALSO
OCCUR... MAINLY IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS THAT SEE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAINFALL. THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT SHOULD MOVE INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY LATE EVENING... WITH
COOLER AND DRIER AIR ESTABLISHING ITSELF ACROSS THE AREA
THEREAFTER.

QUIET WEATHER WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND AT LEAST THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$






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